Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8306592f636fe069fd7823aa146b7c1f09012dab9a450198356248a82109ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof L1ga Team, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed L1ga Team | 0c | 30,088$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 22,260$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,541.78 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 16,140$12,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.76 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 11,251$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.11 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 10,481$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.93 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed L1ga Team | 28c | 10,016$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.7 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 9,764$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.57 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 6,457$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.88 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 18c | 5,693$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.13 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 5,000$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.45 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 5,000$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.68 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 4,728$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.44 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 4,648$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 23c | 4,300$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.88 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 4,215$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.03 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 3,960$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.8 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 26c | 3,910$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 3,716$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed L1ga Team | 16c | 3,660$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 2,502$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed L1ga Team | 16c | 2,445$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.51 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 25c | 2,304$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,197$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.5 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 2,140$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.23 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed L1ga Team | 27c | 2,042$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed L1ga Team | 30c | 2,033$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 23c | 2,004$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed L1ga Team | 21c | 1,989$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.74 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,978$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,926$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team | 26c | 1,872$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.09 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,750$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 1,750$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 1,637$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked L1ga Team | 19c | 1,610$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed L1ga Team | 14c | 1,562$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.98 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed L1ga Team | 19c | 1,516$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked L1ga Team | 19c | 1,505$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 1,502$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 13c | 1,494$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,405$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.89 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,322$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.36 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 25c | 1,300$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 1,285$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 1,235$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,200$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.29 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed L1ga Team | 19c | 1,199$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed L1ga Team | 18c | 1,187$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 1,167$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.25 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 28c | 1,142$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 1,120$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…5f4fbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 1,070$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,060$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed L1ga Team | 17c | 1,050$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,015$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.56 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,012$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 20c | 1,011$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed L1ga Team | 26c | 999.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 988$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 942.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed L1ga Team | 31c | 942.04$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed L1ga Team | 29c | 906$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed L1ga Team | 28c | 900.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 887.25$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 833.19$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 830.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 817.75$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 795$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…7967backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 765.54$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 750$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 689.68$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed L1ga Team | 29c | 687.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 664$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 659.28$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team | 28c | 650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 646$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 630$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed L1ga Team | 25c | 602.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed L1ga Team | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 592.2$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed L1ga Team | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed L1ga Team | 17c | 581.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 525$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked L1ga Team | 17c | 505$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed L1ga Team | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 22c | 497.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed L1ga Team | 16c | 486.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 485.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 458.42$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.