Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0ea4588e7708504b16a42db7fdffe86415855eca396c14f61b516020207ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof L1ga Team, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 14,310$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.54 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 29c | 6,440$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.36 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 5,023$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.19 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed L1ga Team | 24c | 3,477$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.37 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 3,355$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.55 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,423$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.07 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,909$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.79 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed L1ga Team | 14c | 1,734$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,250$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed L1ga Team | 37c | 956.48$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.01 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 929.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked L1ga Team | 18c | 900$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 890.41$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…eba3backed L1ga Team | 27c | 864.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 840.75$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 832.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 818.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 712.14$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed L1ga Team | 27c | 600.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 550$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed L1ga Team | 14c | 538.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 526.63$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f97…80eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 498.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 24c | 497.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 446.09$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 430.32$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 30c | 429.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 26c | 428.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 412.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 327.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…c964backed L1ga Team | 30c | 319.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed L1ga Team | 30c | 312.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked L1ga Team | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 249.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…de15backed L1ga Team | 28c | 247.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed L1ga Team | 15c | 209.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed L1ga Team | 27c | 194$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team | 28c | 176.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 175.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 168.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed L1ga Team | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed L1ga Team | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed L1ga Team | 28c | 149.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 135.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed L1ga Team | 37c | 129.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 125.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 121.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 100.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 78.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 77.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225e…ac2dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 65.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 61.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed L1ga Team | 18c | 59.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked L1ga Team | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed L1ga Team | 28c | 50.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 49.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed L1ga Team | 31c | 48.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9a…a2c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…7596backed L1ga Team | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…1f12backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 30.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 29.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f78fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 25.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 18.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 17.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.