TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06ab…c964

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$29.17
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.98
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+668.4%+$297.14
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.29
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.66
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.12
LoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
LoL: Shifters vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+435.6%+$123.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.28
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-56.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$43.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.15
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.84
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.34
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.81
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$36.69
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$75.41
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked ZEDI Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.2
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.22
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Guatemala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.