Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15d0af678d1c201eddaca38d964396b4a812edaa46d98121e4bd84d8f7eb985c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof LYON, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels | 46c | 19,449$8,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,502.32 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON | 58c | 15,000$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.7 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed LYON | 54c | 12,282$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.54 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels | 45c | 9,645$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,305.02 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked LYON | 55c | 9,593$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.42 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 40c | 7,390$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.73 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Sentinels | 44c | 6,965$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.42 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels | 41c | 6,590$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.88 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed LYON | 60c | 4,681$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.46 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sentinels | 34c | 3,151$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.18 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked LYON | 54c | 2,963$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Sentinels | 42c | 2,938$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.16 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 59c | 2,620$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.32 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Sentinels | 42c | 2,388$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.19 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed LYON | 66c | 2,263$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.98 | 389 | 63%245 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed LYON | 60c | 2,192$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked LYON | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…1706backed LYON | 54c | 1,851$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed LYON | 54c | 1,821$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.32 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed LYON | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LYON | 54c | 1,603$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.62 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Sentinels | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Sentinels | 40c | 1,402$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.29 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked LYON | 60c | 1,322$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.1 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f80…ce62backed LYON | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Sentinels | 43c | 1,220$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.5 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Sentinels | 40c | 1,210$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.34 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked LYON | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Sentinels | 41c | 1,050$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 889 | 50.5%449 W · 440 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LYON | 55c | 1,040$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed LYON | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed LYON | 55c | 986.14$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.83 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels | 39c | 975.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.47 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sentinels | 23c | 970.46$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.74 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels | 44c | 824.13$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed LYON | 64c | 781.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed LYON | 41c | 755.11$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LYON | 57c | 696.74$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.14 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Sentinels | 44c | 687.83$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Sentinels | 41c | 658.18$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.33 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed LYON | 59c | 650$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed LYON | 63c | 619.05$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.25 | 582 | 59.5%346 W · 236 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed LYON | 56c | 607.83$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Sentinels | 29c | 585$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.35 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Sentinels | 33c | 579.45$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sentinels | 39c | 559.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.03 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed LYON | 63c | 516.47$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Sentinels | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed LYON | 59c | 499.44$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked LYON | 60c | 485$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON | 63c | 475.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sentinels | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Sentinels | 46c | 444$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.96 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels | 58c | 416.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.85 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sentinels | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.8 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed LYON | 53c | 369$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed LYON | 68c | 368.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Sentinels | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked LYON | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LYON | 59c | 355.7$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Sentinels | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Sentinels | 45c | 313.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed LYON | 48c | 304.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 381 | 55.1%210 W · 171 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked LYON | 59c | 301.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…52bfbacked LYON | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked LYON | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked LYON | 59c | 263.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked LYON | 53c | 256.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed LYON | 57c | 255$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Sentinels | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Sentinels | 43c | 227.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed LYON | 55c | 219.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Sentinels | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed LYON | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Sentinels | 41c | 208$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked LYON | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked LYON | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…cd27backed LYON | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sentinels | 42c | 170.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LYON | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LYON | 54c | 127.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sentinels | 46c | 125.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Sentinels | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sentinels | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Sentinels | 43c | 123.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed LYON | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked LYON | 55c | 118.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed LYON | 60c | 116.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked LYON | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Sentinels | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 212 | 44.8%95 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked LYON | 60c | 108.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked LYON | 54c | 106.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Sentinels | 41c | 105.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Sentinels | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sentinels | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Sentinels | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…aa34backed LYON | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b5a2backed Sentinels | 43c | 97.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
- LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.