TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof LYON, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels22c28,257$6,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,099.421,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels24c26,076$6,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,817.751,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed LYON76c25,565$19,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,422.312160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sentinels42c20,432$8,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,829.21,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON77c15,000$11,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,510.732,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels27c10,594$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,733.8796048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed Sentinels17c10,545$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,798.267052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Sentinels27c9,650$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.1348149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels38c9,401$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,859.081,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x509b…8a55backed Sentinels26c7,885$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,854.692347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Sentinels31c6,203$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,307.5144851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed LYON45c6,044$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.439162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Sentinels77c6,000$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.1940370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON77c5,195$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked LYON76c5,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9929443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Sentinels17c4,572$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.4613530.4%41 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed LYON73c4,032$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.3614831.1%46 W · 102 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels23c3,630$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.212,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Sentinels24c3,335$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.9630546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked LYON75c3,171$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.6298956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sentinels25c3,142$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.7854934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed LYON75c3,080$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.258559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LYON29c3,022$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.271,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8af…9ea8backed Sentinels21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3701346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed LYON74c2,745$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.312128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed LYON75c2,524$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.6762158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked LYON72c2,464$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.2435848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON73c2,352$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.361,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LYON63c2,265$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.051,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb35c…33c8backed LYON80c2,215$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.943053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed LYON64c2,089$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.0626349%129 W · 134 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked LYON53c2,022$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.191,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels27c1,955$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.3283560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LYON63c1,931$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.161,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Sentinels27c1,789$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.0934837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed LYON74c1,774$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.3662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed LYON73c1,718$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.1638555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked LYON1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed LYON29c1,700$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.964247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked LYON55c1,619$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.166559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed LYON47c1,581$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.963742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON23c1,534$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1369741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Sentinels26c1,400$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.7217439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed LYON60c1,363$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0948157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels12c1,303$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.991,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed LYON47c1,245$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.391,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Sentinels70c1,242$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0485442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Sentinels52c1,224$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8644846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LYON34c1,222$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.071,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels24c1,212$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.242,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed Sentinels26c1,192$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.542040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Sentinels28c1,100$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79236552.6%192 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LYON4c1,072$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.731,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LYON55c1,021$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3285742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked LYON75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75071057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed LYON36c1,000$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked LYON76c999.7$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7714663.7%93 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed LYON80c951.59$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.591,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels29c943.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.891,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed LYON79c916.3$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.421,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4892…4442backed LYON77c909.09$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae26…fdb3backed LYON59c882.34$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.896258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked LYON72c868.76$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.763944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sentinels60c845.41$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.591,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked LYON73c829.69$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.6726765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee7…1ad7backed Sentinels17c822.75$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.3512962.8%81 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LYON70c804.27$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.031,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sentinels6c795.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.6245937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LYON76c789.63$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Sentinels22c779.35$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.155822.4%13 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed LYON76c764.25$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.836943.5%30 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Sentinels59c740.85$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7523053.9%124 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Sentinels28c702.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.749339.8%37 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x483d…69e5backed Sentinels17c700.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4914623.3%34 W · 112 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Sentinels22c700$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.495048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed LYON68c673.54$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.927753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed LYON76c658.81$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9670057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Sentinels58c637$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5133332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed LYON76c606.65$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.843852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed LYON35c600$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1221350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LYON37c506.69$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9380150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed LYON73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36539851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Sentinels24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38022746.3%105 W · 122 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Sentinels20c500$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.552438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Sentinels17c499.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.513537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed LYON63c469.93$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9525965.3%169 W · 90 L+23.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sentinels17c465.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.131,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed Sentinels20c458.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7610650%53 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8458…52bfbacked LYON44c450$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Sentinels56c445.09$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2653545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ad…86b4backed LYON73c440.42$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5128160.9%171 W · 110 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed LYON75c439.65$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4721352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Sentinels28c400$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed LYON75c398.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007566.7%50 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed LYON73c390.15$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7145338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…1dcebacked Sentinels75c387.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6812832.8%42 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Sentinels80c377.34$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8815062%93 W · 57 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Sentinels7c373.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1766116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed Sentinels26c346.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6337252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed LYON29c340$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1618638.7%72 W · 114 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.