Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe9551ea148de70da0254166f6f0a905f7e70114a9bdbca2ad26759190983ce

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,831 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x532b…30c1backed Over	37c	2,066$769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,296.23	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	63c	2,031$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.15	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over	36c	842.37$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.3	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	50c	600.24$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.02	222	65.3%145 W · 77 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	47c	360.73$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.46	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	20c	343.19$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.24	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	62c	202.64$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.64	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	218	39.4%86 W · 132 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under	66c	195.22$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.84	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	56c	193.6$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.47	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed Under	64c	165.63$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	126	38.9%49 W · 77 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Under	51c	160$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	186	38.7%72 W · 114 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Under	52c	150$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	33c	101.82$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.22	186	39.2%73 W · 113 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.81	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under	74c	97$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.75	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	64c	96.33$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	65c	83.24$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.92	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	59c	82.32$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	64c	76$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	549	34.8%191 W · 358 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	74c	75$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	29c	71.07$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under	66c	60.18$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.45	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Over	35c	55.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.12	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	59c	54.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	33c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.64	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	54c	49.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Over	37c	45$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.35	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	+12.7wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	36c	44.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	64c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under	57c	34.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	287	59.9%172 W · 115 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x841f…9f6bbacked Over	32c	34.22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	192	59.9%115 W · 77 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed Under	63c	29.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	276	68.1%188 W · 88 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	44c	29.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Over	59c	29.57$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under	69c	28.13$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	343	57.1%196 W · 147 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under	61c	27.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	356	42.4%151 W · 205 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under	43c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	63c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Over	55c	24.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Under	68c	23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	54c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	63c	20.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-14.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56a3…4a96backed Under	66c	17.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.44	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Over	77c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.88	211	55%116 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonSentinels won
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event