TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Inner Circle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$324,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro60c51,114$30,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,641.011,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle33c15,288$5,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.2421155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Inner Circle36c10,000$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.1447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c5b…b82bbacked Virtus.pro80c6,268$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.881070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Inner Circle9c5,750$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Inner Circle40c5,124$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.064946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Inner Circle51c4,559$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.543953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3201,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9879959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Inner Circle24c4,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9945457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro62c3,893$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.5750832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Inner Circle21c3,822$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.228223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Virtus.pro54c3,728$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.351546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro66c3,652$2,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.7350850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Inner Circle49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.992572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle41c3,154$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.5471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Inner Circle35c3,055$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Virtus.pro67c2,896$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.6715144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a9…18a3backed Inner Circle35c2,862$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9882948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle43c2,832$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.781,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle35c2,795$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.7193546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle55c2,631$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.111,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Virtus.pro58c2,500$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro67c2,408$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.5356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Inner Circle34c2,282$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1641455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Inner Circle46c2,200$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.4355751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Inner Circle32c2,127$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.989954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle42c2,009$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.4843344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Inner Circle28c2,001$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2223546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62056852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Inner Circle52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Virtus.pro48c1,830$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.632548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Inner Circle46c1,797$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.7245139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro65c1,635$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5553652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Virtus.pro71c1,584$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.85949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro70c1,516$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.3133867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Inner Circle31c1,480$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.564149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro52c1,378$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.4757449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle34c1,345$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.571,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro75c1,229$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0727060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle47c1,210$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.121,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle27c1,121$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.11,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Virtus.pro59c1,090$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8634442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Virtus.pro80c1,054$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5928062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Virtus.pro75c1,010$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8410050%50 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Inner Circle30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Inner Circle3c999.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.36132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro67c984.96$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0415150.3%76 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Inner Circle22c961.71$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.88536.5%31 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Inner Circle4c957.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.553323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Inner Circle48c928.97$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.823342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Virtus.pro80c922.61$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5230667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f30…8df6backed Inner Circle27c869.47$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5216555.2%91 W · 74 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Virtus.pro48c867.62$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.168042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc8…8f95backed Inner Circle4c836.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro60c821.68$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Virtus.pro74c810$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.17262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Inner Circle33c799.97$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.993528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Virtus.pro63c794$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7810741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Inner Circle41c780$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3110653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle46c778.12$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8971454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Inner Circle33c775$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6735151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Virtus.pro78c764.03$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4216147.2%76 W · 85 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro66c760.18$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8514446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Inner Circle39c750.39$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.089344.1%41 W · 52 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1413…184abacked Virtus.pro63c750$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2757241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked Inner Circle20c745.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.191957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle17c740.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7122031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Inner Circle21c729.11$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.062334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Inner Circle48c727.96$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4210040%40 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro66c719.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5344149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro60c702.52$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.31,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Virtus.pro68c700.34$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4143860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Inner Circle21c683$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.438934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe70c…9d0bbacked Virtus.pro60c666.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Inner Circle41c661.53$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.197044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Inner Circle40c644.42$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2227636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Inner Circle2c639.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Inner Circle62c627.51$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1352649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Inner Circle42c620.17$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9837047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro66c600.13$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8751364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Virtus.pro71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.215639.1%61 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro79c592$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Virtus.pro68c586.41$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Inner Circle37c578.11$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21317443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Inner Circle35c575.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05a…19eebacked Inner Circle2c556.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Virtus.pro78c514.7$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.719547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked Virtus.pro77c508.49$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.532450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Virtus.pro78c505$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Virtus.pro71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14514259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Inner Circle29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Inner Circle27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Inner Circle20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Inner Circle5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed Inner Circle49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Inner Circle20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.