Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab636064e72249979b8dc0c100dc612dc5084d6aed691a0b09b9128f63d5d435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 18,949$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.72 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 17,750$12,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.53 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle | 15c | 16,096$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.82 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Inner Circle | 13c | 15,309$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.47 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 24c | 10,925$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.67 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 9,383$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.73 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Inner Circle | 2c | 8,250$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Inner Circle | 25c | 5,377$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.94 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 5,244$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Inner Circle | 22c | 4,036$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.5 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle | 30c | 4,000$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.84 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 3,753$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.93 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 3,596$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.08 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 34c | 3,504$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.82 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Inner Circle | 28c | 3,007$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Inner Circle | 26c | 3,001$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.32 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Inner Circle | 36c | 2,742$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Inner Circle | 19c | 2,623$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 2,595$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.15 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Inner Circle | 27c | 2,533$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.05 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Inner Circle | 27c | 2,340$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.74 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Inner Circle | 2c | 2,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 2,181$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Inner Circle | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Inner Circle | 31c | 1,933$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.34 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 32c | 1,907$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,890$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,775$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.69 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 1,658$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.56 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Inner Circle | 32c | 1,584$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Inner Circle | 30c | 1,465$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,449$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,404$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.36 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Inner Circle | 31c | 1,277$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.64 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,257$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.81 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,230$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Inner Circle | 10c | 1,202$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 1,168$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.19 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 1,018$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.36 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Inner Circle | 27c | 1,010$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle | 29c | 996$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 986.04$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Inner Circle | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Inner Circle | 6c | 899.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…1169backed Inner Circle | 8c | 842.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 11c | 800.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Inner Circle | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Inner Circle | 26c | 760.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Inner Circle | 27c | 760$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Inner Circle | 32c | 728.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 709.57$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 703$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 649.47$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Inner Circle | 33c | 648.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 30c | 635$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 27c | 628.96$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 625.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Inner Circle | 35c | 577.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Inner Circle | 2c | 560$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Inner Circle | 28c | 540$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 28c | 536.11$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 533.52$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Inner Circle | 28c | 505.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Inner Circle | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Inner Circle | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed Inner Circle | 31c | 499.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Inner Circle | 32c | 489.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Inner Circle | 33c | 457.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 431$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 427.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Inner Circle | 32c | 412.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Inner Circle | 4c | 405.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Inner Circle | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Inner Circle | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Inner Circle | 28c | 361.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 356.93$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 348.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Inner Circle | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Inner Circle | 19c | 333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 325.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Inner Circle | 28c | 315$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Inner Circle | 26c | 314.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Inner Circle | 11c | 305.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Inner Circle | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle | 28c | 289.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Inner Circle | 10c | 286.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Inner Circle | 27c | 282.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 273.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Inner Circle | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 24c | 261.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Inner Circle | 30c | 256$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Inner Circle | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Inner Circle | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Inner Circle | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Inner Circle | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Inner Circle | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)Inner Circle won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.