Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40451637bd4e3595f45e6c21a9070682d3445956c7d52f58d1875af2dab108a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Virtus.pro, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 79c | 12,368$9,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,729.32 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 40c | 6,816$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.51 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Inner Circle | 45c | 4,352$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 4,297$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Inner Circle | 25c | 3,150$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 2,802$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle | 55c | 2,756$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 2,701$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.69 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle | 24c | 2,609$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 2,394$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.04 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Inner Circle | 73c | 2,390$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 38c | 2,340$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.32 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,160$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.04 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Inner Circle | 23c | 2,147$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.96 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.93 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Inner Circle | 22c | 1,864$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.64 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Inner Circle | 63c | 1,801$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.44 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,502$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Inner Circle | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 1,450$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,281$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.84 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Inner Circle | 21c | 1,280$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.2 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Inner Circle | 22c | 1,238$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.84 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,236$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.43 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Virtus.pro | 77c | 1,230$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.69 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Inner Circle | 28c | 1,223$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.6 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 1,206$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,198$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.96 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Inner Circle | 21c | 1,164$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.56 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.02 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 1,122$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Inner Circle | 40c | 1,118$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.16 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Inner Circle | 28c | 1,098$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Inner Circle | 20c | 1,039$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.93 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Inner Circle | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…dcd9backed Inner Circle | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Inner Circle | 51c | 977.17$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.55 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 943.95$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.77 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 882.9$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.83 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 859.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 853.36$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Inner Circle | 47c | 851.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 808.85$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.59 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Inner Circle | 77c | 806.82$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 731.03$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.82 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 716.02$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.28 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Inner Circle | 29c | 711$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle | 26c | 700.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 700$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 685.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Inner Circle | 21c | 660.87$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Virtus.pro | 80c | 659.98$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.87 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 645.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 611$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 584$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.98 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Inner Circle | 35c | 573.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.74 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 40c | 554.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Inner Circle | 21c | 542.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Inner Circle | 25c | 517.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Inner Circle | 53c | 513.01$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 510.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Inner Circle | 74c | 509.12$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Inner Circle | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Inner Circle | 31c | 499$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle | 68c | 462.22$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 437.25$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Inner Circle | 21c | 436$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.44 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 431.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.76 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 415.03$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.72 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Inner Circle | 76c | 405.02$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Inner Circle | 31c | 396.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 388.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Inner Circle | 31c | 366$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Inner Circle | 72c | 361.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 356.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Inner Circle | 71c | 345.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Inner Circle | 80c | 339.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Inner Circle | 28c | 329.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 307.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 51c | 304.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Inner Circle | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Inner Circle | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Inner Circle | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 28c | 290.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.04 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Inner Circle | 39c | 290$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…9d0bbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 288.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle | 21c | 288.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5)Inner Circle won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.