Lol · resolved market

LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee794c816c8767dc1852a4a9dad60bb33bf8c6ae7480229edb4fb4fdf0f8bacd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, BRUTE
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,287 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6918…782bbacked EXILE esports	79c	13,904$10,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,919.07	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked BRUTE	21c	9,054$1,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.68	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed EXILE esports	71c	9,011$6,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,611.5	600	53.2%319 W · 281 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed BRUTE	16c	8,125$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BRUTE	29c	4,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed BRUTE	19c	2,910$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.1	644	43%277 W · 367 L	-27.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed BRUTE	17c	2,400$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	443	35.4%157 W · 286 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked BRUTE	28c	1,975$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BRUTE	14c	1,043$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.1	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed BRUTE	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	313	37.7%118 W · 195 L	-15.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa500…39d1backed EXILE esports	78c	999.99$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	125	48.8%61 W · 64 L	-10.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed BRUTE	16c	969.98$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.2	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed BRUTE	29c	960.03$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.11	141	48.2%68 W · 73 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked BRUTE	21c	894.85$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.12	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BRUTE	10c	824.24$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.03	545	29.7%162 W · 383 L	-34.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ad…8799backed BRUTE	18c	681.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.86	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed BRUTE	21c	562$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.26	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed BRUTE	17c	562$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.54	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed BRUTE	17c	547.06$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	187	42.8%80 W · 107 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed BRUTE	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BRUTE	15c	475.76$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked BRUTE	12c	416$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	205	35.1%72 W · 133 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BRUTE	23c	386.96$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	592	48.3%286 W · 306 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed BRUTE	18c	379.77$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.54	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed BRUTE	19c	372.54$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-9.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked BRUTE	10c	333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae0d…a507backed BRUTE	18c	329.06$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	+116.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed BRUTE	17c	316$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.72	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed BRUTE	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-17.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked BRUTE	22c	276.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.89	434	42.4%184 W · 250 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked BRUTE	17c	250$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+154%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed BRUTE	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BRUTE	16c	249.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked BRUTE	14c	242.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19c1…8e22backed BRUTE	11c	238.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed BRUTE	23c	205.65$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	214	40.2%86 W · 128 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked BRUTE	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BRUTE	32c	200$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked BRUTE	16c	183.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	68	11.8%8 W · 60 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed BRUTE	10c	173.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	438	39.7%174 W · 264 L	-24.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked BRUTE	11c	150$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed BRUTE	17c	148.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849e…8b55backed BRUTE	8c	129.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed BRUTE	19c	129.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked BRUTE	15c	127.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked BRUTE	18c	105$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	166	34.9%58 W · 108 L	-19.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed BRUTE	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	507	45%228 W · 279 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed BRUTE	17c	90$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	694	42.1%292 W · 402 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ab…c964backed BRUTE	20c	67.23$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked BRUTE	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	390	44.6%174 W · 216 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc09…f937backed BRUTE	37c	46.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonthis page
Game Handicap: EXE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)EXILE esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerEXILE esports won
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerEXILE esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event