Lol · resolved market
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23f523206049202ec87d0955c39d577c0fb2280ba6352384204e2087f6b8fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed BRUTE | 17c | 2,400$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.54 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed BRUTE | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked EXILE esports | 68c | 1,271$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.84 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BRUTE | 18c | 1,099$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed EXILE esports | 79c | 831.07$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed BRUTE | 16c | 703.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed BRUTE | 15c | 655$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed EXILE esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked BRUTE | 14c | 492.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked BRUTE | 19c | 441$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed BRUTE | 22c | 321.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BRUTE | 16c | 315.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed BRUTE | 34c | 282.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed EXILE esports | 80c | 280.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked BRUTE | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BRUTE | 31c | 234.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed BRUTE | 21c | 214.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BRUTE | 36c | 194.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed BRUTE | 15c | 189.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BRUTE | 21c | 141.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed BRUTE | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed BRUTE | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed EXILE esports | 76c | 119.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849e…8b55backed BRUTE | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BRUTE | 17c | 74.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed EXILE esports | 69c | 44.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed EXILE esports | 80c | 26.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked EXILE esports | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EXE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)EXILE esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonEXILE esports won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.