Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EXE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f43da7cde85667ad5ad91b8f38bcaa3382ff28c9228a13c466767860160760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed EXILE esports | 66c | 7,317$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.73 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked EXILE esports | 68c | 7,154$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked BRUTE | 34c | 6,082$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.32 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked EXILE esports | 74c | 4,812$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed BRUTE | 32c | 4,397$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.61 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed BRUTE | 24c | 3,170$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.79 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed EXILE esports | 74c | 2,977$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed BRUTE | 26c | 2,633$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.02 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed BRUTE | 31c | 2,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.45 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed BRUTE | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed EXILE esports | 75c | 1,042$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked BRUTE | 33c | 820$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed EXILE esports | 74c | 794.44$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed BRUTE | 33c | 762.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BRUTE | 30c | 673.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed EXILE esports | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed BRUTE | 24c | 587.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked BRUTE | 29c | 450$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed BRUTE | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked BRUTE | 26c | 362$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed EXILE esports | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed BRUTE | 25c | 342.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…eff8backed BRUTE | 25c | 316$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed EXILE esports | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed BRUTE | 25c | 226.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked BRUTE | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed EXILE esports | 66c | 168.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed EXILE esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed BRUTE | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed EXILE esports | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed EXILE esports | 75c | 52.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BRUTE | 28c | 37.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…e6e6backed EXILE esports | 66c | 35.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed BRUTE | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb335…568ebacked EXILE esports | 73c | 28.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed EXILE esports | 67c | 26.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed EXILE esports | 70c | 26.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked EXILE esports | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked EXILE esports | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed EXILE esports | 72c | 19.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9377…d749backed EXILE esports | 79c | 17.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked EXILE esports | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EXE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonEXILE esports won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerEXILE esports won
- LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerEXILE esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.