Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0875165e7dbf5ca70d858572bd42d17a0ccdde005a4315c82b57eac1ccd48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 73c | 1,296$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 1,105$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.53 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 36c | 788$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.68 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 57c | 694.69$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.97 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 413.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…f288backed Yes | 26c | 353.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…033dbacked Yes | 33c | 340.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 27c | 307.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 45c | 299.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 287.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 26c | 287$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 34c | 272.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 52c | 266.49$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 33c | 259.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 210.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 17c | 201.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 189$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 34c | 174.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 66c | 174.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 168.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 59c | 168$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 158.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 17c | 151.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 9c | 142.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 140.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 43c | 130.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 53c | 106.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 53c | 105.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 75c | 103$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 101.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 35c | 99.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 89.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed No | 40c | 88.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 87.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 44c | 79.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 67c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 68c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 64.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 60c | 60.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 58.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 28c | 56.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 67c | 56.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 26c | 50.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 65c | 50.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…0ab8backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 21c | 49.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…3ee2backed No | 74c | 48.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…b287backed Yes | 35c | 46.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 42c | 44.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 36c | 44.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 51c | 42.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdc…5bf7backed Yes | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…3cc0backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed Yes | 64c | 39.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…437ebacked No | 73c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 57c | 37.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…c964backed No | 55c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Yes | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 46c | 35.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 58c | 34.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…5bdcbacked Yes | 80c | 34.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 40c | 32.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…d7c1backed Yes | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 46c | 30.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…826bbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 66c | 29.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -69%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 67c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 60c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 44c | 24.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 66c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.