TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e68…826b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Stocks, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 13 above $210?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 13 above $660?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 6 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 22 above $400?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.79
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 22 above $570?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $210?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 22 above $300?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$62.56
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 15 above $240?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$68.38
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 15 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$133.85
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $390?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$81.66
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+143.4%+$52.26
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $420?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$247.56
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 11 above $610?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $420?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+285.3%+$718.23
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$193.6
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.63
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$166.99
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.27
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+445.3%+$163.32
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$27.22
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+314.5%+$113.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$245.55
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.18
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$33.07
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 21?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.54
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,551.85
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$198.55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$80.8
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$48.21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$35.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$18.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.67
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.28
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$6.11
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigurbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.86
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.3
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Sion win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.