Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d162d944d468c6c0037dca5774ff11e8faa54dc1e351b95af8775c8054eca48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof MIR, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 529$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MIR | 19c | 399.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 203.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Fire Flux Esports | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked MIR | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed MIR | 39c | 154.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 152.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed MIR | 55c | 143$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed MIR | 31c | 141.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIR | 27c | 123.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIR | 37c | 122.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIR | 28c | 116.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 100.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MIR | 27c | 84.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…6400backed Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIR | 25c | 52.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 51.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed MIR | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 48.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIR | 31c | 47.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 44.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIR | 38c | 43.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 41.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked MIR | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Fire Flux Esports | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 37.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed MIR | 45c | 37.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MIR | 48c | 35.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…826bbacked MIR | 64c | 31.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MIR | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 56c | 29.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed MIR | 63c | 25.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…b3f3backed MIR | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.