Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118f1afa96a6c42407e98dff8cd7a85995f69d959554d4c4a968ea99e97f80a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Medvedevof Marin Cilic, Daniil Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marin Cilic | 25c | 5,882$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Marin Cilic | 9c | 5,600$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Marin Cilic | 29c | 4,666$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.13 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Marin Cilic | 9c | 3,947$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.22 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 3,350$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 3,316$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.64 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Marin Cilic | 2c | 2,258$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 2,246$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Marin Cilic | 3c | 2,184$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marin Cilic | 28c | 2,161$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.46 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 2,055$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 1,987$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Marin Cilic | 27c | 1,800$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Marin Cilic | 3c | 1,625$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…9a39backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marin Cilic | 5c | 1,408$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 1,360$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.36 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 1,302$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 1,301$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…5eb6backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marin Cilic | 3c | 970.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marin Cilic | 29c | 691.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 671.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Marin Cilic | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Marin Cilic | 2c | 603.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 263 | 55.1%145 W · 118 L | +36.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e4…68bebacked Marin Cilic | 14c | 591.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marin Cilic | 15c | 583.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 523.74$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Marin Cilic | 28c | 506.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 503.44$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…b5a5backed Marin Cilic | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Marin Cilic | 27c | 459.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 80c | 375.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 342.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Marin Cilic | 6c | 310$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Marin Cilic | 15c | 309$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Marin Cilic | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 271$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 269.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Marin Cilic | 9c | 239.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 198.29$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 194.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Marin Cilic | 12c | 190.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Marin Cilic | 9c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Marin Cilic | 30c | 144.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…c98cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marin Cilic | 29c | 136.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 130.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…8db2backed Marin Cilic | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 119.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…02bbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 119.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Daniil Medvedev | 70c | 117.53$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Marin Cilic | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Marin Cilic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marin Cilic | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 96.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Marin Cilic | 30c | 96.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Marin Cilic | 28c | 89.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Marin Cilic | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 79.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Daniil Medvedev | 70c | 78.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 72.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Daniil Medvedev | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 69.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 68.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Marin Cilic | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 66.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Marin Cilic | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Marin Cilic | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Daniil Medvedev | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…4eb9backed Marin Cilic | 29c | 56.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 56.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedevthis page
- Cilic vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Marin Cilic vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs MedvedevMedvedev won
- Set 3 Winner: Cilic vs MedvedevMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)Medvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Cilic (+2.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.