Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3bd6086c67e18e7b01bd9080b51ac789e5be5496f07414d6cba4c31d2e60b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 52c | 56,399$29,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,129.78 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…d685backed Up | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 47c | 5,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.96 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed Down | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Up | 58c | 3,392$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 34c | 2,524$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.38 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Down | 47c | 2,100$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Up | 37c | 2,079$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Up | 33c | 1,892$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.65 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Down | 49c | 1,857$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.83 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…936dbacked Down | 46c | 1,801$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.46 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Up | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…a4e1backed Up | 37c | 1,557$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Up | 49c | 1,550$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Up | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…15f9backed Down | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Up | 37c | 1,323$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Up | 5c | 1,142$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.21 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 48c | 999.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.42 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 58c | 972.77$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.84 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8808…164fbacked Up | 55c | 862.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…81c4backed Up | 48c | 824$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Down | 43c | 757.88$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Up | 56c | 685.65$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.13 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…2d08backed Down | 50c | 658.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…c45cbacked Down | 40c | 599.14$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…0a1bbacked Down | 64c | 540.47$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Up | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 56c | 491.94$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Up | 58c | 447.65$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed Up | 49c | 400$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…4dcbbacked Down | 61c | 342.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…4404backed Down | 52c | 340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Down | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…9644backed Down | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Down | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked Down | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e68…826bbacked Down | 41c | 294.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Up | 35c | 207.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked Up | 48c | 205.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e90…f911backed Down | 39c | 204.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…af0dbacked Down | 50c | 201.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Up | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…91a3backed Down | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Up | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Up | 48c | 199.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Down | 29c | 195.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Up | 48c | 184$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Up | 49c | 132$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Up | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…0844backed Up | 37c | 121.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…08c5backed Up | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Down | 59c | 117.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Down | 51c | 116.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…24dcbacked Down | 53c | 110.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9b87backed Down | 53c | 100.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked Up | 45c | 100.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…2613backed Up | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Up | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…5dc7backed Up | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Down | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4afbbacked Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed Down | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6f…09d5backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…f7ffbacked Down | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51a…4f53backed Up | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…6713backed Down | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed Up | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…23ccbacked Down | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Down | 43c | 88.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…c364backed Down | 54c | 82.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Up | 50c | 76.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Down | 45c | 75.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…480cbacked Down | 42c | 73.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…6c84backed Up | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…17b7backed Down | 53c | 62.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Down | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…33b6backed Down | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…fbe5backed Up | 55c | 47.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked Up | 49c | 46.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Down | 42c | 42.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…619dbacked Up | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Down | 60c | 39.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Down | 44c | 38.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2a20backed Down | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Down | 60c | 30.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…34c0backed Up | 50c | 30.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…ac5abacked Up | 61c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.