TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2651…3471

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
392
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT30443.4%132 W · 172 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 304 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+292.3%+$159.44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.63
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+54%+$28.14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.8
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 19?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.66
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 19?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.06
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 19?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+217.8%+$52.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.41
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 14?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$42.1
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.74
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.71
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+158.8%+$35.32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+612.9%+$517.31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.93
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.16
Showing 25 of 304 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$88.66
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$629
Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$46
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$132.7
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+51.6%+$108.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$49.39
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$84.64
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+39.1%+$93.87
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.25
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$213.84
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$56.2
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$220.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.17
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$251.71
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$52.83
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$241
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,409.47
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+273%+$125.63
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$93.61
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.11
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$123.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$608.04
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,407.5
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$520.6
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$766.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.74
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+39.5%+$8.5
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15,968.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,091Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,091.4
Will Meta reach $750 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$79.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+45%+$371.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.