Movies · resolved market
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6fe1e09610ae0d2240e5ab49fabf280c0f4ff226a23e53a49528b7c769fbe65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38d6…220cbacked Yes | 2c | 193,090$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Yes | 0c | 29,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,217$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…5820backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…c6ebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…38e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed Yes | 23c | 7,240$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed Yes | 27c | 6,371$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 6c | 5,597$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed No | 71c | 4,857$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 13c | 4,221$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 16c | 3,706$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +315.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 14c | 3,484$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 79c | 2,704$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.49 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…2a96backed Yes | 36c | 2,521$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 15c | 2,059$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 5c | 2,023$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…b193backed Yes | 5c | 2,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…ac4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,712$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…560abacked Yes | 15c | 1,709$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 19c | 1,697$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,674$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 19c | 1,648$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,532$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…0f42backed Yes | 32c | 1,243$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Yes | 16c | 1,210$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,156$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 35c | 939.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…d207backed Yes | 30c | 929.8$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 79c | 898.16$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8a…2be8backed Yes | 61c | 797.5$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 15c | 750.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 64c | 750$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…ada8backed Yes | 16c | 561.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 27c | 543$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 19c | 516.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 475.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 27c | 456.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 21c | 452.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 10c | 410$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 8c | 397.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 333.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 67c | 272.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 43c | 268.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 9c | 255$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 21c | 217.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 214.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Yes | 14c | 211.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked Yes | 25c | 197.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 11c | 195.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked No | 75c | 170.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 14c | 142.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…056fbacked Yes | 29c | 139.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 17c | 129$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 21c | 125.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2390backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 19c | 94.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…f1ffbacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 48c | 77.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 75c | 72.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…10c8backed Yes | 15c | 71.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…ad9bbacked Yes | 28c | 58.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 22c | 52.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 50.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…b21dbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…e0c2backed No | 70c | 45.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed No | 77c | 44.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…7c9fbacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce87…2f3fbacked No | 64c | 27.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 80c | 24.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…a524backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?this page
- Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?Yes won
- Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?No won
- Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m?No won
- Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.