World Politics · resolved market
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c79659a36b6a3ddbcc4359225cf6855063281d92efe15c7f588e9e68646f788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,635,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,357,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,635,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 564,768$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,117.05 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 1c | 167,352$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.07 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…0ab4backed Yes | 2c | 90,180$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 1c | 61,361$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 1c | 61,142$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.78 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 1c | 59,097$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.54 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…8e57backed Yes | 1c | 55,403$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 45,413$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.37 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 1c | 44,630$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.19 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 43,062$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.06 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…0d08backed Yes | 2c | 42,751$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 1c | 37,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…10a2backed Yes | 2c | 35,293$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 34,857$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.12 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 1c | 31,217$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed Yes | 1c | 30,292$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 2c | 29,996$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 29,905$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…ea8cbacked Yes | 1c | 29,657$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 1c | 29,399$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 2c | 28,406$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.1 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes | 2c | 26,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…14c4backed Yes | 5c | 25,150$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 25,037$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…b564backed Yes | 2c | 24,258$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…8179backed Yes | 0c | 23,033$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +449.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 22,616$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.83 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 22,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 21,474$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…af63backed Yes | 2c | 20,127$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 17,394$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 2c | 17,187$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.33 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…f2afbacked Yes | 1c | 14,124$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 1c | 13,752$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…b91abacked Yes | 1c | 13,204$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 0c | 12,921$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 2c | 12,917$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 12,464$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…c24cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,424$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 12,033$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…b671backed Yes | 0c | 11,938$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 11,837$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…179abacked Yes | 1c | 11,289$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 11,141$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.88 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,479$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 1c | 10,243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 2c | 10,082$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ce…cf09backed Yes | 2c | 9,467$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…d150backed Yes | 1c | 8,597$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…8d06backed Yes | 0c | 8,450$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 1c | 8,136$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,874$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…75cfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,790$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…eb7dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,364$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…95bebacked Yes | 0c | 7,130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…c754backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…5d50backed Yes | 3c | 6,802$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 0c | 6,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 1c | 6,515$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 2c | 6,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Yes | 1c | 6,391$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…e170backed Yes | 3c | 6,243$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecb…4edcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,933$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,932$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…4e10backed Yes | 2c | 5,910$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,908$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…6b4abacked Yes | 0c | 5,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…928fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 2c | 5,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 1c | 5,631$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…81ddbacked Yes | 0c | 5,450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 1c | 5,318$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 5,303$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…81b0backed Yes | 0c | 5,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9c…523abacked Yes | 0c | 5,150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…3f3abacked Yes | 2c | 5,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 1c | 4,860$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 2c | 4,836$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 3c | 4,457$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…8dfdbacked Yes | 4c | 4,352$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,329$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes | 4c | 4,318$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2,755.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…767dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,281$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,273$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…e00bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 0c | 4,166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,100$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…16c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,993$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…9c25backed Yes | 1c | 3,927$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 1c | 3,678$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 1c | 3,662$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…7a7bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,618$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…2d9abacked Yes | 1c | 3,589$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 1c | 3,444$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…8089backed Yes | 1c | 3,286$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.