Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e4cbe59f45ed80d8824820176d434eb7aa3dbb2d6cf56e23d676ef7dcf45163

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,058,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,029,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,058,238 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa2a8…8466backed Yes	7c	44,034$3,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,188.09	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fc…eafdbacked Yes	11c	43,630$4,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,952.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a6…7d02backed Yes	0c	43,628$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…1bf5backed Yes	0c	43,347$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f58…e10bbacked Yes	0c	41,878$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab77…255abacked Yes	6c	40,163$2,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,593.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3350…dad4backed Yes	0c	39,112$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…b694backed Yes	0c	39,012$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	7c	37,264$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498.3	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8057…b671backed Yes	0c	37,157$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a7…157cbacked Yes	0c	35,902$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…9bf9backed Yes	10c	35,826$3,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,409.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x010e…ad0dbacked Yes	0c	35,677$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebd4…2657backed Yes	0c	35,422$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24c0…6732backed Yes	13c	35,325$4,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,698.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x925b…640ebacked Yes	14c	35,124$4,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,911.43	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+455.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa139…9c57backed Yes	0c	33,152$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…4252backed Yes	0c	33,089$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-59%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Yes	13c	30,277$3,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,991.19	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb419…b006backed Yes	0c	30,086$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…34e8backed Yes	13c	29,931$3,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,962	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89d1…d041backed Yes	0c	28,886$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b9…02fdbacked Yes	0c	28,386$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…8097backed Yes	0c	27,086$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…5b5abacked Yes	13c	26,648$3,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,485.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…0986backed Yes	19c	26,359$5,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,049.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…bbd9backed Yes	0c	26,141$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes	30c	25,192$7,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,633.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d8…c5debacked Yes	13c	23,402$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	12c	22,272$2,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,704.78	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed Yes	13c	21,687$2,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,809.32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c16…45e9backed Yes	0c	21,684$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Yes	12c	19,791$2,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,298.07	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d7…20d5backed Yes	1c	19,000$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x109a…84b3backed Yes	5c	18,674$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe61…847abacked Yes	14c	18,000$2,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,469.99	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	15c	17,773$2,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,739.97	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	11c	17,686$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.75	166	12.7%21 W · 145 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes	11c	17,598$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,014.5	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes	13c	16,989$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.86	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb97…3f3abacked Yes	27c	16,899$4,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,496	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ce…6df8backed Yes	11c	16,859$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	16,841$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.45	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	15c	16,076$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,331.61	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe145…519abacked Yes	12c	16,000$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,951.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7166…c32bbacked Yes	11c	14,448$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.9	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x415d…f675backed Yes	17c	13,781$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	12c	13,614$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.4	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x990b…1fd7backed Yes	17c	13,420$2,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,263.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	1c	13,212$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.71	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf925…92efbacked Yes	12c	13,104$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	11c	13,046$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.64	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24f7…14c4backed Yes	7c	12,700$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.71	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	1c	12,101$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.21	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9357…81ddbacked Yes	4c	11,615$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.33	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…ace5backed Yes	13c	11,444$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.37	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0915…67c3backed Yes	7c	11,361$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.4	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	8c	10,550$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.62	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Yes	3c	10,279$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51bc…46b1backed Yes	34c	10,265$3,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,480	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes	26c	9,298$2,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,399.32	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	1c	8,888$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.1	54	20.4%11 W · 43 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…8dfdbacked Yes	2c	8,719$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.32	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x375a…ad3bbacked Yes	12c	8,243$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x72e0…8e57backed Yes	2c	8,091$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.69	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Yes	9c	8,000$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd632…8afbbacked Yes	8c	7,898$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.44	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafa0…6769backed Yes	9c	7,403$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	1c	7,366$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.57	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	20c	7,319$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.28	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2f6abacked Yes	29c	7,237$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,128.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcd…5263backed Yes	3c	7,103$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.82	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f23…179abacked Yes	10c	6,875$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.24	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	13c	6,836$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.02	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa364…792ebacked Yes	5c	6,706$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.17	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb813…af28backed Yes	9c	6,648$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.58	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bf…e00bbacked Yes	11c	6,530$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.98	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…41f6backed Yes	12c	6,302$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	16c	6,200$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.75	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x979a…552bbacked Yes	5c	5,732$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab61…1137backed Yes	22c	5,730$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	5,661$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.4	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x836a…f3c6backed Yes	3c	5,642$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b18…fbbebacked Yes	3c	5,638$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	2c	5,539$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.15	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf1…b3afbacked Yes	14c	5,169$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be8…de7ebacked Yes	10c	5,111$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x256e…8a38backed Yes	12c	5,041$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.52	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde54…444dbacked Yes	0c	5,012$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+183%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ec…9706backed Yes	10c	5,006$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	14c	4,741$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.78	302	33.8%102 W · 200 L	+19.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f3…8d95backed Yes	12c	4,605$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	10c	4,525$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.79	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb6…c443backed Yes	11c	4,495$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes	9c	4,398$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.72	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x376d…9b48backed Yes	2c	4,345$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b89…eac8backed Yes	16c	4,323$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	5c	4,296$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa553…3eaebacked Yes	13c	4,263$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2df6…82afbacked Yes	6c	4,144$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?this page
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event