World Politics · resolved market
Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd947fe9f2065651071f520e0938e0bb3db009ed8fe3024b7f2d664da1ff4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,048,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,048,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 91,459$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…d093backed Yes | 0c | 64,333$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…38dabacked Yes | 0c | 64,318$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…b129backed Yes | 0c | 64,318$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…e87ebacked Yes | 0c | 64,318$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9576backed Yes | 0c | 63,840$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…3cefbacked Yes | 0c | 63,829$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…1626backed Yes | 0c | 63,829$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…b13cbacked Yes | 0c | 63,826$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…3d86backed Yes | 0c | 63,730$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41c…0d2cbacked Yes | 0c | 63,488$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec8…7cedbacked Yes | 0c | 63,488$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…2c9abacked Yes | 0c | 63,488$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…4a88backed Yes | 0c | 63,388$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…8017backed Yes | 0c | 63,133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46f…e19abacked Yes | 0c | 63,128$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…2aaebacked Yes | 0c | 59,931$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…4c04backed Yes | 0c | 59,528$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…a0a2backed Yes | 0c | 59,110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…a7e7backed Yes | 0c | 58,998$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ef…4f80backed Yes | 0c | 58,927$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…1e9dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,551$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cf…b05fbacked Yes | 0c | 58,551$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…1292backed Yes | 0c | 58,551$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…2daabacked Yes | 0c | 58,551$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…fecabacked Yes | 0c | 58,416$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…4176backed Yes | 0c | 58,337$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe451…a773backed Yes | 0c | 58,337$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb40…2f6cbacked Yes | 0c | 58,337$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…3daabacked Yes | 0c | 58,337$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…bb3dbacked Yes | 0c | 58,337$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…754cbacked Yes | 0c | 57,764$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…c1dfbacked Yes | 0c | 57,673$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…a29bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,668$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6d8bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,568$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…915cbacked Yes | 0c | 57,525$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…f94cbacked Yes | 0c | 57,481$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…1a7bbacked Yes | 0c | 57,328$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c43…cf5cbacked Yes | 0c | 56,530$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6354…3138backed Yes | 0c | 56,044$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…7f4ebacked Yes | 0c | 55,210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…3b95backed Yes | 0c | 29,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed Yes | 0c | 23,984$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 23,170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,042$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 0c | 15,146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…cad1backed Yes | 0c | 12,110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 9,372$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…60b9backed Yes | 0c | 9,244$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…1d2dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…ecc2backed Yes | 0c | 6,122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…82efbacked Yes | 0c | 6,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,436$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 4,170$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…9106backed Yes | 0c | 3,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 3,077$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.