World Politics · resolved market
Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83858eafc55348545c8c41494c343508a2c8fe7d9c8e0314300263a3c66924e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,700,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,700,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 66,980$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…aeb0backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…e8e8backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…3f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3377…5165backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…e676backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…cb49backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…a9d1backed Yes | 0c | 51,639$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…9b87backed Yes | 0c | 50,189$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…c077backed Yes | 0c | 50,181$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…66b6backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…6f7bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…adb4backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…ca8abacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…a597backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…006abacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…a4b9backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5dabbacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…7474backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…bbcbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…0648backed Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…4f8fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,037$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…c763backed Yes | 0c | 49,993$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…7ca3backed Yes | 0c | 49,771$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…1049backed Yes | 0c | 49,644$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…e535backed Yes | 0c | 49,495$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…0bb3backed Yes | 0c | 49,317$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…9a2fbacked Yes | 0c | 49,301$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…0597backed Yes | 0c | 49,197$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…4790backed Yes | 0c | 48,332$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…312fbacked Yes | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe614…b53ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,945$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…98a7backed Yes | 0c | 30,945$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…097dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,945$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…11a7backed Yes | 0c | 30,945$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…aa49backed Yes | 0c | 30,849$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5f6cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,849$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…7fe1backed Yes | 0c | 30,849$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e7…e3adbacked Yes | 0c | 30,849$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…d3eebacked Yes | 0c | 30,835$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…51d5backed Yes | 0c | 30,686$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…707ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,495$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bb…5ddabacked Yes | 0c | 26,492$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…f6a1backed Yes | 0c | 26,492$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…bf0dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,492$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…cf3abacked Yes | 0c | 26,492$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…ff99backed Yes | 0c | 26,492$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…3ff1backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…c3b7backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…d62dbacked Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…00d5backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…cb61backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…b4f0backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…8730backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…b281backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…8170backed Yes | 0c | 26,466$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…a14abacked Yes | 0c | 17,936$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…e7edbacked Yes | 0c | 17,936$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…fbf5backed Yes | 0c | 17,936$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…428cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,936$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…eebfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,936$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…318ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,534$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…b29fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,534$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa481…b137backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…a968backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…ce96backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…e438backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb642…bccfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…0b8fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b2…9567backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…f81cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…6298backed Yes | 0c | 17,424$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…476fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,424$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…d147backed Yes | 0c | 17,352$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…726cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,352$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…340fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,510$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…bd35backed Yes | 0c | 15,797$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…3daabacked Yes | 0c | 15,612$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…0360backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…f67ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…d4fcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…ac2ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…04f1backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…f37cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…b2f4backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…8e02backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a01…70f9backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7694…085fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…eab6backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…6f30backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…f126backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…fe29backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…414abacked Yes | 0c | 14,262$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…3ea1backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…f487backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…1092backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…fe74backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…8312backed Yes | 0c | 14,262$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…a8f8backed Yes | 0c | 14,060$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.