World Politics · resolved market
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c928844f37566d8bbba8eef7e8136de3ccdaa12171b772a6a52bc8680e794c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,415,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,085,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,415,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3b…b312backed Yes | 0c | 593,901$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…318ebacked Yes | 0c | 534,511$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…8dfdbacked Yes | 6c | 132,218$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 3c | 70,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed Yes | 2c | 56,877$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.85 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…b27fbacked Yes | 0c | 55,417$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9234…efc4backed Yes | 0c | 55,417$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…ff27backed Yes | 0c | 55,333$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 54,477$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…16d9backed Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…4709backed Yes | 0c | 49,990$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 7c | 46,490$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.42 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 2c | 43,649$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…e647backed Yes | 49c | 41,926$20,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,543.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…077cbacked No | 51c | 41,926$21,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,543.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…fba5backed Yes | 54c | 41,546$22,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,434.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…0575backed No | 46c | 41,546$19,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,434.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…ca0fbacked Yes | 48c | 37,266$17,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,887.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…4297backed No | 52c | 37,266$19,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,887.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…5ee8backed No | 51c | 36,765$18,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,014.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…9ecabacked Yes | 49c | 36,765$18,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,014.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…5ce1backed No | 47c | 34,785$16,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,436.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…f22cbacked Yes | 53c | 34,785$18,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,436.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 12c | 34,563$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.7 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…43ebbacked Yes | 3c | 33,922$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 7c | 33,533$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.99 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 31,881$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…e678backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 29,901$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…89e0backed Yes | 0c | 29,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 2c | 29,116$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.71 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 6c | 28,958$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.62 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 14c | 28,538$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.38 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…eff8backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 2c | 26,229$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.77 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 5c | 26,214$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.07 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…ddc5backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…b96bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 24,425$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.79 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 1c | 23,146$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…4dc0backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 19,769$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.94 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…7755backed Yes | 3c | 18,457$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.61 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 3c | 18,160$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.95 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…63debacked Yes | 8c | 18,070$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 3c | 17,744$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c4…e9ccbacked Yes | 2c | 16,614$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 2c | 16,500$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.5 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 8c | 16,315$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…db32backed Yes | 6c | 16,190$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 12c | 13,804$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…b17cbacked Yes | 5c | 13,252$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…8943backed Yes | 4c | 11,713$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…d1cabacked Yes | 2c | 11,698$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…f819backed Yes | 12c | 11,689$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 7c | 11,511$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.34 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…14c4backed Yes | 27c | 11,278$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…dd52backed Yes | 3c | 10,704$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 13c | 10,397$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.31 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…34e8backed Yes | 10c | 10,134$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…0e00backed Yes | 2c | 9,184$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…53aebacked Yes | 3c | 8,925$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…05bbbacked Yes | 11c | 8,864$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…67e3backed Yes | 3c | 8,803$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 8,398$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.78 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…5bc5backed Yes | 3c | 8,229$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 2c | 8,213$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 8,212$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.57 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…2fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 7,885$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…c24cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,466$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 3c | 6,643$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…74b1backed Yes | 6c | 6,405$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 3c | 6,304$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…4331backed Yes | 5c | 6,154$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…6a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,137$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5c42backed Yes | 3c | 6,100$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc43b…784dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,086$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d92…a624backed Yes | 34c | 6,015$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…457bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,881$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 5,691$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.04 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…9c25backed Yes | 3c | 5,545$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…7b8fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,456$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…62e4backed Yes | 20c | 5,273$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…e908backed Yes | 2c | 5,130$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 3c | 5,089$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…266cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,081$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf925…92efbacked Yes | 2c | 5,046$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 34c | 4,957$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.26 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 5c | 4,856$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…5837backed Yes | 6c | 4,653$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 4,564$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.79 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.