Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9155de72c92f0dc089bda9c19549dbfad58f8cc7d982861881e0c18ef1bc8d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Longhornsof Texas Longhorns, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,373 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 50,905$27,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,511.18 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 24,949$11,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,472.35 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 4,971$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.22 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 4,246$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 4,054$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.37 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Longhorns | 44c | 2,304$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.9 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 2,149$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.39 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…ea99backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 1,824$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Texas Longhorns | 55c | 1,710$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.87 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…5358backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Texas Longhorns | 45c | 1,363$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 1,217$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 1,126$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 851.13$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 842.59$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.57 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 488.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.92 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Texas Longhorns | 45c | 440.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 396.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 394.28$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.86 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 361.4$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 258.66$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 257.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 245.36$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Texas Longhorns | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 177.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 167.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Texas Longhorns | 46c | 149.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 123.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…d331backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 101.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Texas Longhorns | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 99.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…7f81backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 81.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Texas Longhorns | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Texas Longhorns | 45c | 38.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 36.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…51ccbacked Texas Longhorns | 45c | 35.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Texas Longhorns | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…9943backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Texas Longhorns | 46c | 27.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 46c | 26.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 47c | 26.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 55c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas LonghornsTexas Longhorns won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5Under won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.