TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,678 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under50c58,868$29,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,490.5544452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over51c19,331$9,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,927.9841752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c13,878$7,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,661.294348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c12,650$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.8284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c12,103$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,845.6612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over48c7,950$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808.5633438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c7,611$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under52c5,259$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.4130139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9911048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9209839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over48c2,852$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.944245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over49c2,778$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.78748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,478$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.7661652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0406246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Over48c1,859$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.148257.3%47 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over48c1,568$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.834654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c1,492$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Over52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Under48c1,002$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4803154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6417…2ce4backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x314a…60f0backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a19…8f5bbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c2…09b0backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Over48c982.45$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.582330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over52c824.78$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8918556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33e6…dcdfbacked Under51c816.61$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over48c580.24$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.525054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over49c505.74$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8110150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Over48c495.63$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.91729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Under51c491.54$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.852050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c413.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over51c402.45$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2522043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under48c289.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.341,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7d…ac98backed Under51c267.95$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over48c257.09$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over39c248.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.371346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Under53c243.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2810144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc954…0920backed Over49c232.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Over48c227.16$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.045540%22 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91b…af31backed Under52c223.52$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over48c220.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.995843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1234746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…8ddabacked Over80c203.81$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.462788.9%24 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+38%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Under49c202.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.165350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10050548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over48c198.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1616546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d8…028cbacked Under52c192.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1762…1f75backed Over49c192.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…0a12backed Over49c189.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22fe…65acbacked Under52c182.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad8…fe39backed Under52c180.64$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc04f…bca2backed Under52c176.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c176.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.691,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8f…99e1backed Over49c176.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2860%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under51c175.22$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.868946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf54…ac36backed Under52c163.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed79…4f5dbacked Over49c162.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1296…902ebacked Over49c162.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45e…c84abacked Under52c161.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over47c159.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.28535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaae4…5ae6backed Over49c157.26$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6f…159ebacked Under52c156.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9831…62dfbacked Over49c152$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x232e…fc46backed Over49c147.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…f291backed Under52c140.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…0e8cbacked Over49c136.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed Over49c136.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea7…0e82backed Under52c131.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dcc…7e0bbacked Under52c126.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c120.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.25,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a5…4c43backed Under52c120.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over49c119.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7730152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…302abacked Over49c111.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c106.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.934,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3218…a011backed Over49c105.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over48c104.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.966758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c101.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.581,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under48c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.554042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over49c99.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5714546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc809…1f9bbacked Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Under54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.224055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over50c80.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Over49c76.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Over48c75.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.163754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Over49c75.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.781729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Under53c74.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1632652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c70.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.