Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f977e32ad7222bfcce42a34a4d9a313c0ffb87c20d8304bf1f245d30040fb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 2c | 16,258$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 9,944$4,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.4 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Over | 51c | 9,482$4,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.77 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 51c | 8,182$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.62 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 7,678$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.13 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 78c | 6,172$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.73 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 27c | 5,357$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.95 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 2c | 5,193$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 4,711$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 49c | 4,024$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 1c | 4,013$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 3,933$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 50c | 3,817$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.17 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 3,368$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Under | 50c | 3,238$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 3,074$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,502$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.82 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 50c | 2,479$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 27c | 2,167$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.02 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Over | 2c | 2,020$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 1,793$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.52 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 48c | 1,457$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 1,457$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.61 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d9…7574backed Over | 1c | 1,050$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 51c | 1,021$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb4…cac8backed Over | 7c | 1,005$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Under | 48c | 997.96$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 957.13$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…09b0backed Under | 49c | 865.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Over | 52c | 857.81$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…31f8backed Under | 49c | 836.8$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 51c | 732.31$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 49c | 710.73$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.47 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…b7e6backed Under | 49c | 687.69$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…1e28backed Over | 11c | 582.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 495.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 315.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 239.32$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 25c | 218.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Over | 52c | 208.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 194.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Over | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Over | 52c | 188.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 42c | 172.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Under | 49c | 167.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 148.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…1f9bbacked Under | 50c | 135.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 50c | 132.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Over | 51c | 118.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 52c | 118.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Over | 52c | 104.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 103.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 49c | 101.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 49c | 98.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 97.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 51c | 92.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 89.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 49c | 84.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 52c | 72.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 51c | 70.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 67.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…aa17backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…2927backed Under | 50c | 58.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 50c | 50.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Under | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 48.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c662backed Under | 50c | 48.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Over | 52c | 40.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 51c | 40.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…cd8dbacked Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 50c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 51c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…25d0backed Over | 52c | 26.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…9723backed Under | 50c | 23.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Under | 50c | 23.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…f426backed Over | 51c | 23.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas LonghornsTexas Longhorns won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
- Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)Texas Longhorns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.