TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb1b…f426

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 61 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$5.09
Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$11.71
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigurbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.77
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$4.38
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.99
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$10.8
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+43%+$5.74
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.62
Tallahassee: Cannon Kingsley vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$4.12
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.92
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+160%+$23.06
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$5.49
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.11
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$4.41
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$4.23
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$7.82
Split: Matej Dodig vs Christian Langmobacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.25
Miami Open: Linda Noskova vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$7.45
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$6.53
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36%+$4.66
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$5.06
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104%+$37.37
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.88
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$7.93
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$13.83
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$5.68
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$6.95
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$3.06
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$6.52
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4.8
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.45
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.38
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.57
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$4.16
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$9.94
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$9.29
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.28
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28%+$7.66
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$15.58
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$8.27
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+98%+$17.92
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.58
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$21.91
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$4.4
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+99%+$15.7
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.42
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.21
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$10.54
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$10.7
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$7.4
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$10.47
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$14.18
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$7.25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$6.92
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.82
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$6.36
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$17.87
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$16.65
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$6.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$20.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.8
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.45
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$16.35
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+57%+$66.88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.5
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$32.78
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51%+$40.85
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$49.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$8.68
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$5.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$4.49
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$7.28
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$11.03
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$32.17
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$25.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.56
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$6.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$10.46
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$7.81
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$50.05
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+79%+$43.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.26
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$4.7
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+129.4%+$14.62
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$47.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$7.33
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.99
Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$7.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$7.85
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35%+$7.47
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+78%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.32
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$32.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.