TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$415,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,296 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over57c71,396$40,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,700.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c39,045$16,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,789.3943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c11,037$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c7,966$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.523,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Under43c5,289$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c5,201$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.742,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Under14c3,519$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.063836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under43c3,356$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.2920132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.011080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,397$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.8491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c2,352$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.2911242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over55c1,462$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Under46c1,368$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under42c1,099$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under43c984$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under44c954.09$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.397550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under45c934$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c855.1$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.151,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under22c769.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under46c703.78$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.741942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under17c586$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Over54c476.37$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over57c453.49$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1954528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under46c443.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.23444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under46c415.86$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.525836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under43c403$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2918049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Over54c327.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under9c325.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over58c293.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under28c286$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0812545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c249.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.363154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c236$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c228$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over54c220$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c216.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9225…00eebacked Over54c211.94$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9d8…f8afbacked Under47c192.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c190.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.451,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…b09cbacked Over54c184.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…7126backed Under47c182.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c177.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8616543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa9…59c8backed Under47c176.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under43c173.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.588355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0390…e9fdbacked Over54c169.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under44c158.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8517249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over54c149.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.998442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Under27c148$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.454348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f68…32dabacked Under47c142.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaa…35b2backed Over54c128.12$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under24c117.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0117956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501580%12 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over57c102.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8326647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.723354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c74.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under43c74.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.081957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over57c71.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c68.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3810254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over56c65.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.99048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over58c60.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under21c56.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.777848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under43c47.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over56c38.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.574141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2316856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…5204backed Under43c28.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9624…0b05backed Under45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+46.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5046…7676backed Under44c27.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over56c26.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over54c25.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.731947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1b…f426backed Under43c25.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Under43c23.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.173616.7%6 W · 30 L-9.3wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-70.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc187…efaabacked Over64c17.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.