Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e69e1457f6ddad0dae84694360642ad3d12a8ab2c6c7f327bee970cebb63a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Bragaof SC Braga, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,052 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Braga | 79c | 6,289$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.26 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Ferencvárosi TC | 11c | 5,200$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked SC Braga | 71c | 2,912$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 17c | 1,450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ferencvárosi TC | 41c | 440.85$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed SC Braga | 25c | 419.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.84 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SC Braga | 20c | 295.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed SC Braga | 19c | 233.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed SC Braga | 61c | 164.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 160.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ferencvárosi TC | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Ferencvárosi TC | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed SC Braga | 53c | 110.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ferencvárosi TC | 15c | 104.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Ferencvárosi TC | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Ferencvárosi TC | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 29c | 77.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SC Braga | 20c | 71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed SC Braga | 22c | 64.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 45c | 63.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed SC Braga | 76c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SC Braga | 37c | 37.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Ferencvárosi TC | 80c | 18.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ferencvárosi TC | 78c | 15.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.