Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf66aab2857d4c20ef1e02b4421ea7ad16667c46548605a9b9e612266d26bbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,032 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 8,060$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.36 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 37c | 4,751$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 44c | 3,387$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 3,162$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.78 | 749 | 39.4%295 W · 454 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Under | 59c | 2,814$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,572$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 43c | 2,200$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 69c | 1,884$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 743$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.75 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 16c | 742$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 534.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.21 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 424.8$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.12 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 47c | 368.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Over | 56c | 349.88$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 37c | 330.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +174%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Over | 69c | 291.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 263.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 47c | 237$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 38c | 236.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | +24.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 233.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 66c | 228.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 197.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Under | 51c | 196.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 14c | 182.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 62c | 179.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 60c | 167.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 61c | 162.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 69c | 155.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Over | 16c | 134.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 15c | 131.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 80c | 125.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 112.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 270 | 47.4%128 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 94.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 58c | 75.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 39c | 72.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 65c | 63.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Over | 43c | 54.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 33c | 47.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 68c | 43.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…43d4backed Under | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 36c | 42.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 26c | 40.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked Under | 52c | 38.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 35.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9f…e763backed Under | 54c | 34.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 56c | 33.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 43c | 28.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 56c | 27.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 52c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 43c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 64c | 23.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 45c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…5f34backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…592dbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 70c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…0662backed Over | 69c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5this page
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.