TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SC Bragaof SC Braga, Ferencvárosi TC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,777 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked SC Braga44c30,520$13,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,135.272853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed SC Braga44c27,000$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,219.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked SC Braga41c19,472$7,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.382653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c16,927$9,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,713.1713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ferencvárosi TC57c12,828$7,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,290.1838247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ferencvárosi TC42c12,699$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,378.483,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Ferencvárosi TC59c10,032$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,906.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked SC Braga42c5,526$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.33250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489c…90bfbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed SC Braga43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Ferencvárosi TC59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.986858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Ferencvárosi TC56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9601952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Ferencvárosi TC59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.892123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c2,873$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ferencvárosi TC57c2,509$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.352,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Ferencvárosi TC56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Ferencvárosi TC57c2,195$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ferencvárosi TC57c1,970$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed SC Braga43c1,436$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.1711242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed SC Braga38c1,172$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c937$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.729858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Ferencvárosi TC59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4135856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed SC Braga43c505.88$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Ferencvárosi TC56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Ferencvárosi TC56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed SC Braga41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2953748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Ferencvárosi TC62c492.24$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed SC Braga41c485$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.157750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked SC Braga41c467.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.915540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Ferencvárosi TC21c442.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Ferencvárosi TC62c402.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5917249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Ferencvárosi TC19c354.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Ferencvárosi TC59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Ferencvárosi TC46c281.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.345836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Ferencvárosi TC59c253.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.294153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Ferencvárosi TC56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Ferencvárosi TC59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.510539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed SC Braga42c246$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5e…9733backed SC Braga42c210.6$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Ferencvárosi TC57c204$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fad…3ee4backed Ferencvárosi TC33c199.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Ferencvárosi TC56c193.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3812633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Ferencvárosi TC59c179.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Ferencvárosi TC56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Ferencvárosi TC56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef5a…a040backed Ferencvárosi TC10c162.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8413650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Ferencvárosi TC56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Ferencvárosi TC56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Ferencvárosi TC58c149.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.995738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d30…04c0backed SC Braga41c144$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Ferencvárosi TC56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.48554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ferencvárosi TC58c130.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4617956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1b6…0bd5backed Ferencvárosi TC56c130$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Ferencvárosi TC56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ferencvárosi TC56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Ferencvárosi TC56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebc…35c2backed SC Braga41c122.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked SC Braga41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.952740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Ferencvárosi TC56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Ferencvárosi TC56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.23050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Ferencvárosi TC56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ferencvárosi TC56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.223757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked SC Braga54c119$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.284348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Ferencvárosi TC56c107.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Ferencvárosi TC61c103$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8312545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Ferencvárosi TC56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked SC Braga39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ferencvárosi TC19c98.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0333522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Ferencvárosi TC57c95.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Ferencvárosi TC20c95.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0921835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ferencvárosi TC59c93.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1516543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Ferencvárosi TC60c93.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…d08abacked Ferencvárosi TC57c90$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Ferencvárosi TC56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.46741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Ferencvárosi TC57c83.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.839048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Ferencvárosi TC56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ferencvárosi TC57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Ferencvárosi TC56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Ferencvárosi TC56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked SC Braga39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.823949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Ferencvárosi TC60c76.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.739354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Ferencvárosi TC56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.