TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c27,657$20,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,841.0890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes26c19,876$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.885726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes35c18,460$6,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No78c13,992$10,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.134856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c12,461$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.623,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+135.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c4,900$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.394,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No73c4,763$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.145831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No73c4,025$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.777852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No68c3,896$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.343476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c3,648$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.4458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes28c3,609$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.532045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c2,782$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.242,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No72c2,640$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.166764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No65c2,258$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes28c1,944$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3810848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c1,755$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes24c1,750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9411929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c1,374$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.089944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8160…2665backed No73c1,345$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes27c1,099$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c1,010$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.8250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c1,003$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f1…d942backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc135…4bdebacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No73c980.86$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.839244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No74c902.18$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.210948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No73c857.12$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.422334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No73c840.95$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.062466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No73c835.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7212050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes14c821.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6744324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes18c808.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.382313%3 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-55.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8423727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes29c659.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c585$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes17c565.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0121641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes29c560.54$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.381,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Yes27c510.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+96.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784d…9827backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No78c488.02$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c486.82$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.314959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c482.83$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c466.68$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.711,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes21c455.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.583138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes26c453$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.785832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c424.81$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No74c417.39$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6828357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11226853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f1…9befbacked Yes24c398.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No74c398.35$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5712964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No75c378.1$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.723456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No74c374.83$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7611266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No74c360.41$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No74c360.22$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.197954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No74c333.08$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9217659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes27c301.03$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.282138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes26c295.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.473638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes25c286.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6310820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes27c283.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes27c283.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes27c247.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.933330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c239.28$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2775051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3373…50c4backed Yes26c217.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Yes22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes28c205.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.412927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No74c199.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.888670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked No77c198.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.842982.8%24 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+33.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c95…3309backed Yes29c194.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x014c…39e7backed Yes26c176.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.843534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No74c168.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.343759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes26c165.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes28c165.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes27c159.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0847653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes11c159.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5535145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c156.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes27c154.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.961921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Yes22c151.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb84e…f401backed No73c150.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes20c149.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.475743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes27c147.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.967936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked No77c145.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.473834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No79c144.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.354276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No80c142.78$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.219953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No75c140.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.312065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef9…916abacked Yes25c140.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.132657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes25c133.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4310834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No74c133.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8417856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No74c133.2$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7516456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.596163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.