TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,021,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,126,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,021,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c152,076$64,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,252.9450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No58c138,883$80,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,330.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No58c109,920$63,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,002.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes42c97,218$40,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,905.865726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes43c56,695$24,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,137.666832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c52,504$16,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,596.8990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Yes42c40,538$17,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,026.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No60c34,950$20,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,979.973366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c26,902$15,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,360.182,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c22,360$16,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,188.144,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No58c17,746$10,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,453.113554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes20c16,887$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.116437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c16,847$12,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,335.323,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes42c12,731$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,380.229244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c11,767$7,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No57c11,386$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.168940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c10,361$7,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.431,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No57c8,597$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.572755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No58c7,960$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.175152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes29c7,399$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.129541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4606746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No61c5,777$3,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.0910948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No57c5,543$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.616357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes29c5,181$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.743633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c5,149$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.9949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No58c4,960$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.112045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes41c4,920$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.116746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c4,575$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.3258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No58c4,516$2,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.725242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No57c4,400$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.999058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes40c4,302$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.572250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c4,214$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.9874657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes41c4,176$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.948756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7207349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes43c3,859$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.392045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc936…6029backed Yes40c3,828$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No57c3,726$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.962334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes41c3,659$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No58c3,607$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.2165356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes40c3,545$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.852850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No60c3,522$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.5615559.4%92 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c3,457$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9923727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No60c3,387$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.033145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No56c3,333$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.527936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes30c3,264$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.3514549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes21c3,248$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.762040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c3,146$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.571,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes32c3,113$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9812050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes42c2,992$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.695431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebec…5956backed Yes31c2,870$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes11c2,713$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8311929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No77c2,655$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No77c2,636$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.4728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes42c2,537$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.351145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes41c2,372$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.2110848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Yes42c2,284$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.18540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No71c2,199$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.7313054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Yes40c2,169$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes42c2,043$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+77.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes5c1,988$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.44119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No57c1,921$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.857561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No58c1,787$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.827667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes41c1,787$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.492227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes15c1,534$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.741513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes35c1,523$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.271637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes42c1,392$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5411333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No71c1,283$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.044665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Yes11c1,271$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+96.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes40c1,270$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No59c1,220$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.051844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes40c1,205$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes40c1,205$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes25c1,138$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.882133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes43c1,123$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.910250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes26c1,078$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.023834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Yes15c1,018$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.383834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.044456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f1…d942backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc135…4bdebacked No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42012358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No62c992.96$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3322335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.637829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Yes40c940$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes42c919.24$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.081711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed No60c900$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No58c900$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37810859.3%64 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes41c895.49$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.15850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.