TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,194,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,175,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,194,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 722 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes45c616,954$276,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340,208.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No55c354,011$194,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,7061323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Yes46c318,292$145,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,181.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No56c205,943$114,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,649.238756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed No58c117,080$68,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,306.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c66,414$28,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,897.073,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c61,617$34,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,209.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…146abacked No58c54,444$31,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,620.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c50,784$21,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,129.9590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes39c42,770$16,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,089.823342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No59c39,011$22,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,937.931650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No57c37,633$21,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,453.652842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No36c26,475$9,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,617.974645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed No57c21,702$12,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,370.4140%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes44c21,529$9,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,056.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No56c20,689$11,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,585.846839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No59c20,025$11,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,779.755337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked No59c17,946$10,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,588.044463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No59c17,564$10,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,364.0522455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes51c15,513$7,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,580.348461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No56c15,504$8,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,682.182045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes28c15,084$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,860.5315034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No56c13,600$7,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6162740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c12,921$7,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,235.657349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No36c12,525$4,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.4721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes46c11,755$5,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,383.9328357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes46c11,536$5,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.5123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No55c11,400$6,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2702853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,700633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7001070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c9,712$6,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,028.611,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No56c9,400$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.977553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No58c9,369$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes41c9,265$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,466.329536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No58c8,000$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes45c6,934$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c6,860$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.6350249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No57c6,818$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.166746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes65c6,800$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.974146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c6,780$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.8614951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No38c6,754$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.2412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c6,356$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.342,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No58c6,336$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6756944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c6,238$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.044,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No62c6,058$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.063351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6609457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No56c5,894$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.89650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No57c5,622$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.4512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed No31c5,045$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.012437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No56c5,000$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8252356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e3…0da5backed Yes43c4,801$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No58c4,500$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62010068%68 W · 32 L+13.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No55c4,486$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.0215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes66c4,483$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.640357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed No57c4,444$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.921566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No4c4,423$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.431,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No62c4,254$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.725749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c4,207$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes56c4,160$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.7212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No16c4,139$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.3458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c4,014$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.8774457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No24c3,993$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.9140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed No59c3,872$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes45c3,670$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.616657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No62c3,551$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No58c3,515$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.778146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c3,500$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes27c3,495$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.157656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No60c3,095$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8573145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No64c3,000$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.876051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No28c2,844$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No52c2,812$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.551844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No57c2,630$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.296555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No29c2,543$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5982844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes65c2,413$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.5919953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.0624344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c2,279$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.2153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes43c2,246$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.259164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75cf…3ee4backed Yes43c2,246$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No59c2,222$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.987443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes45c2,149$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.893551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c2,132$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8160732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked No72c2,129$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.612138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes38c2,111$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.24845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed No59c2,103$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes42c2,050$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.048254.9%45 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No57c2,045$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.162254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,012$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.687667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No65c2,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.037561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4402755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1801573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No58c1,999$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.125648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No55c1,983$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.614045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No62c1,896$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.781973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed No59c1,888$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes72c1,829$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.