TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,454 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes30c132,337$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c30,333$20,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,034.7590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c24,647$18,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,601.583,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c19,489$13,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.831,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No70c18,508$12,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,621.0350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c12,905$8,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.644,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c12,793$8,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.752,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1005757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c6,500$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88514244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c5,182$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.0469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4501353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes29c3,733$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.5710848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No70c3,576$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.85757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes29c2,831$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked No71c2,815$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No70c2,550$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7656360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c2,477$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.3320449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No69c2,174$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.9128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c2,167$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.3215952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c1,705$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No70c1,600$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Yes29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c983.29$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.951,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c940$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28215250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes54c740.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c690.16$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3863553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes20c628.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.727431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No72c557.09$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.022352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15027652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15031751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No72c490.3$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.112965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c488.6$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3983939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes14c471.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No71c465.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8720245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c453.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes11c444.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.273522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No60c441.26$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.544062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No70c420$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1265158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No70c413.7$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.866536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes68c411.82$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.374158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes7c361.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No72c360.28$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.881866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No71c360$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c356.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10734252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c350$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c349.87$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6425872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes29c345.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.733250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes14c340$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.522753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No70c324.42$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.334548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b6…8502backed Yes42c321.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8720642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes18c281.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.731421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No50c278.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1916962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes36c278.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No46c267$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.111915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No56c264$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No47c261.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7917455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No67c253.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.813158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No71c245$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.052853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7218853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No70c240$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c226.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7423947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c223.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c220.02$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No70c219$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.74351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.