TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,069 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under38c137,211$52,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,267.9816040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c94,149$58,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,689.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over62c12,611$7,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,792.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c7,282$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c6,479$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.312,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c4,700$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over77c3,930$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.872466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over79c2,294$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5052…9071backed Over77c2,158$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under23c1,941$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under21c1,883$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Over77c1,746$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.512250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over63c1,708$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.031457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Under1c1,557$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under3c1,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.599446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over74c1,286$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.294470.5%31 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over63c1,039$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c999.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over61c876.01$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.6496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over72c838.9$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.892948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over68c729.28$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2661143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over76c669.42$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.428445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c626.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.249154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.484845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over79c514.97$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over77c457.78$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.294057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under31c448.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c429.52$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under23c356.63$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over62c324.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.782,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over75c303.13$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7910459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Under5c301.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under9c289.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over61c276.3$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under19c275.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.052040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf917…8ca4backed Under23c269.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…9145backed Over77c269.96$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over75c265.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over77c261.15$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1510058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under19c249.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.114658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over70c244.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2918562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under20c240.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over71c198.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c160$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.541343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8715553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Over79c126.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.78988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over71c101.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7231747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under23c94.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.743345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9743backed Over73c93.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151850%9 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb1b…f426backed Over63c86.95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.17988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over63c86.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.018463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Over63c86.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under24c82.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7936554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under34c82.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedb…7343backed Under17c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under32c79.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.417851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…0901backed Under25c79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.751729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-54.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over77c78.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.242661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over64c78.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.835160.8%31 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Over63c75.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.431764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.446160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…bf04backed Over77c65.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.041163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2b…ab92backed Over70c65.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over77c63.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.645064%32 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…6f21backed Over62c59.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.797057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c59.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.671,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…8ea7backed Over77c51.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9046…227fbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b0…16a0backed Over71c49.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe90…5ce2backed Over64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa9…b534backed Over63c39.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4049…25e4backed Under31c38.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over77c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.746450%32 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb751…03c4backed Over63c37.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.662653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Over63c37.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e29…3c2abacked Over63c37.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.