Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2f74a769dfddeb2b8fb6f208877f434934c6c3c72c3b0e7e4820b04c3c91c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Everton FC, Chelsea FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Everton FC | 30c | 1,372$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.22 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Chelsea FC | 77c | 1,310$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Everton FC | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Everton FC | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Everton FC | 11c | 1,249$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.02 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Everton FC | 13c | 643$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.08 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…e7b3backed Chelsea FC | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a8…9a69backed Everton FC | 14c | 532.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Chelsea FC | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Everton FC | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…34a8backed Everton FC | 14c | 154.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Everton FC | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Everton FC | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Everton FC | 36c | 125.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Chelsea FC | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Everton FC | 68c | 100.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…3cd2backed Everton FC | 26c | 95.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Everton FC | 11c | 91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 538 | 28.3%152 W · 386 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Everton FC | 29c | 80.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Everton FC | 19c | 79.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Everton FC | 14c | 76.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chelsea FC | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Everton FC | 38c | 30.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.