Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0004e020a14c1cc6c465c6f2a0ba27056c838ead060d8e2730a5e2dc322e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Chelsea FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,021 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 78c | 8,943$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.3 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Everton FC | 78c | 3,528$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Everton FC | 79c | 2,277$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.17 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 2,114$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Everton FC | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.94 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 1,237$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…239cbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…ce96backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Chelsea FC | 12c | 878.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chelsea FC | 21c | 716$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chelsea FC | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 580.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Everton FC | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…b161backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Everton FC | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chelsea FC | 16c | 148.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chelsea FC | 17c | 125.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Everton FC | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Everton FC | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Chelsea FC | 21c | 97.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chelsea FC | 19c | 95.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Chelsea FC | 21c | 95.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Everton FC | 77c | 82.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…b6e2backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 70.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Everton FC | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Everton FC | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Chelsea FC | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Everton FC | 79c | 38.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Everton FC | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Everton FC | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Everton FC | 79c | 21.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Everton FC | 79c | 17.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.