TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$541,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,964 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under54c91,272$49,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,145.2616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Over51c84,376$43,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,933.426857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over50c30,000$14,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,024.941154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c24,780$10,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,412.986,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c13,758$6,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,604.6151750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over52c13,755$7,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.566567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over52c11,785$6,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.625560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c11,449$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c11,114$5,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.8135652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c10,120$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.2113630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under49c9,240$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,551.211353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under49c9,184$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c8,870$4,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,346.152360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over52c8,633$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.985455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c8,342$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,004.312774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f84…0982backed Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.969272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under50c5,565$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c5,344$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.034,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over52c5,192$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Under49c4,220$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over52c4,167$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.312070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c3,792$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.5627552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a1…33eebacked Over53c3,775$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…6c49backed Under47c3,775$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c3,576$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.487361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51c8…3478backed Over52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c2,806$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.1317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over52c2,772$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.7610246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under48c2,746$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.0739948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c2,671$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.811,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under48c2,550$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2249254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under48c2,530$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22510838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over52c2,423$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c2,316$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15812649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c2,302$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.978146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under48c2,078$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.442281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.088851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.082263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over52c1,668$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.855100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c1,547$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.0315534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over51c1,510$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.234628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over51c1,468$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.421145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over52c1,358$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6525947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8062236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under2c1,300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c1,283$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.6730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c1,208$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c1,090$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over48c1,076$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.483938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c999.92$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.965949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.544233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under48c940$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.229259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over49c861.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over48c820$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3849150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef7d…a3f0backed Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over45c699.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0835428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c662.63$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.061,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c652.9$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c634.62$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under56c598.41$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.182638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c517.35$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c507.35$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.534858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Over52c500.59$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x152e…fcc8backed Over52c493.75$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c491.42$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.162,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under48c479.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3812136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c475.34$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8931849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.728654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under48c438.68$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.67261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over52c385.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c374.9$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over50c370.1$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.057565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.