Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c16e041738085c2f8ed6409bcd097f4fa1c4171c47931fd082b98b81facc0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $621,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 70c | 118,163$82,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,587.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 30c | 77,500$23,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,492.53 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 71c | 75,492$53,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,294.3 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 30c | 47,638$14,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,407.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 30c | 35,432$10,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,798.47 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 30,546$16,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,870.19 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 27,028$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,957.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 24,491$13,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,042.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 20,976$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,769.8 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 19,369$11,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,586.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 19,190$13,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,665.97 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 16,261$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,530.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 30c | 13,176$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,278.09 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 30c | 11,146$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,852.97 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 30c | 8,655$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 29c | 8,340$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 68c | 8,100$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.07 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 43c | 7,946$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.06 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 54c | 6,280$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 30c | 5,945$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 56c | 5,854$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.82 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 29c | 5,758$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.18 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2c58backed Yes | 70c | 5,387$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 29c | 5,134$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.44 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 71c | 4,963$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.06 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1050…43afbacked Yes | 70c | 4,858$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 70c | 4,753$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.33 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 29c | 4,600$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 70c | 4,133$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.1 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…b2f6backed Yes | 26c | 3,892$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,863$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.36 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 32c | 3,825$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes | 34c | 3,732$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes | 69c | 3,600$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 54c | 3,592$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 49c | 3,350$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 31c | 3,343$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.25 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 3,335$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.65 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Yes | 63c | 3,227$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 68c | 3,071$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,044$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,956$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 30c | 2,628$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 53c | 2,586$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 69c | 2,460$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed No | 31c | 2,377$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 32c | 2,325$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 70c | 2,286$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 70c | 2,217$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yes | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 31c | 2,077$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.31 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 1,984$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.13 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,935$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed No | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,450$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 67cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 31c | 1,410$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 33c | 1,381$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.15 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 1,365$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 50c | 1,340$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.8 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 43c | 1,327$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.08 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed Yes | 30c | 1,259$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,216$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.17 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 55c | 1,211$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.95 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 51c | 1,210$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.93 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 46c | 1,191$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.32 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 48c | 1,185$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 30c | 1,175$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.08 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 30c | 1,116$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.82 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…18cebacked No | 33c | 1,076$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes | 63c | 1,069$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…7e61backed Yes | 66c | 1,066$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.82 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 1,043$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.13 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 25c | 1,009$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.16 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 43c | 1,009$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.64 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…8117backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 26c | 975.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 30c | 956.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 76c | 954.99$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.79 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 921$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.33 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…c3bebacked Yes | 44c | 916.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 914.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 36c | 911.94$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.61 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 888.43$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.25 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 36c | 865.85$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.85 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…858cbacked Yes | 65c | 843.86$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed No | 54c | 827.64$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 32c | 781.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 38c | 777.47$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.