Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815e2c4f06745cc349bcd6a41443784667adf640ac9ab7485eaded5a5c184e67

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,346 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No	76c	13,367$10,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,169.55	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Yes	16c	8,713$1,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.3	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+6.3wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+59%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	74c	3,084$2,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.72	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	78c	2,777$2,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.41	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	42c	2,077$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.32	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	27c	2,017$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.98	236	32.2%76 W · 160 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes	35c	1,209$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.9	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3bee…a715backed Yes	51c	1,180$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No	75c	1,049$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.53	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes	24c	971.89$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.77	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	9c	811$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.91	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes	32c	780.84$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.87	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	74c	742.56$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.76	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x593e…05a6backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	18c	579.92$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.39	74	27%20 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes	40c	569.77$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e3…9b30backed Yes	27c	560.57$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	30cpaid	+72%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No	74c	553.8$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.69	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No	72c	511.92$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.45	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	16c	487.77$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.46	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No	74c	480.29$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.72	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes	19c	426.93$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.12	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes	18c	409.67$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed No	78c	393.06$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6249…2340backed Yes	18c	377.78$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes	32c	333.77$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.55	451	42.6%192 W · 259 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes	33c	318.24$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.94	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes	46c	302.28$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.03	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc594…7738backed Yes	19c	257.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No	67c	227.8$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.88	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	33c	212.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	16c	203.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	310	53.2%165 W · 145 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes	22c	198.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No	68c	191.01$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.79	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes	20c	186$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes	16c	168.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	58	31%18 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes	15c	167.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes	30c	165.12$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.07	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	19c	160.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	122	33.6%41 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes	23c	154.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.83	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No	65c	150.83$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	71c	148.07$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.99	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No	71c	144.9$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.02	300	57%171 W · 129 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes	15c	134.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba3…317ebacked Yes	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd295…f12ebacked Yes	49c	132.12$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.74	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes	24c	129.45$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	322	22.4%72 W · 250 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Yes	29c	121.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	+9.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes	29c	121.72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No	71c	121.13$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.13	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes	23c	119.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No	60c	116.66$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.33	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	18c	114.68$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	75c	109.56$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes	33c	106.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22d6…00d5backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	33c	94.85$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…edbdbacked Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	58c	87.64$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.78	419	56.3%236 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	16c	82.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No	56c	82.03$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.99	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ac…ebeebacked No	61c	75.42$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes	27c	73.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No	65c	70.89$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.85	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No	76c	70.11$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No	69c	66.07$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No	63c	65.86$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No	70c	62$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.83	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781b…c4d5backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa768…c7c8backed Yes	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7118…a2a5backed Yes	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes	31c	57.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	46c	54$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	73c	52.25$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.22	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes	21c	52.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	46	37%17 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes	44c	50.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c6…9508backed Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.57	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes	31c	49.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.49	97	38.1%37 W · 60 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fe…fe82backed Yes	24c	49.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No	77c	49.1$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.1wins	+0.23per pick	45cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2bcf…f7c3backed Yes	29c	47.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event