TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8597…d9fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$36.65
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.31
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.02
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+43%+$6.3
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.79
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.24
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.41
Timberwolves vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$23.75
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+81.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$25.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$16.57
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$38.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$21.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$77.06
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+547.3%+$72.23
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.36
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-79.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-76.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.