TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,251,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,785,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,251,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 597 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes61c1,971,278$1,207,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207,743.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No39c1,015,787$394,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,395.856952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No39c181,500$70,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,7152236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…0d51backed Yes0c150,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No39c130,000$50,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,5003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes59c80,077$47,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,009.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c75,915$30,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,930.5962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c74,274$28,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,393.3887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No38c69,978$26,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,386.432045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No39c43,952$17,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,810.721838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c40,110$18,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,961.161,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No39c36,045$13,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,100.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes55c36,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,799.991118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No39c34,206$13,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,878.223450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No38c34,190$12,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,197.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes49c28,301$13,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,847.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No40c27,242$10,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,245.352128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No38c25,579$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,734.978254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No40c21,642$8,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,900.624551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No39c18,737$7,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,429.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c18,085$10,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,331.5324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No39c18,066$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,000.682157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes27c17,229$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+148.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c17,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.932920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c13,202$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,620.4452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No41c13,130$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,765.031844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No39c12,910$5,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,851.491241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No39c12,037$4,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,302.26553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No43c11,444$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,523.174447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No38c11,000$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8203148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No39c9,075$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,535.751838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No37c8,888$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No39c8,595$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.323354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c8,465$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.011,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No42c7,439$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,314.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No43c7,109$3,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No45c7,043$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c7,000$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,228.486443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No38c7,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,34013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No39c6,958$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.483537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No77c6,602$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.961668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c6,300$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.2930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No42c5,930$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.261546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No38c5,380$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d82…3847backed Yes49c5,087$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked No39c5,050$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5505538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No49c4,839$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,484.6224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked No39c4,627$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No43c4,603$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.3620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No42c4,557$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c4,360$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.7371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa022…27cfbacked No38c4,050$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2804250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c3,898$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.6628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes57c3,884$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.9923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c3,518$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.739558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Yes55c3,455$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No39c3,380$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c3,277$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.1712556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c3,252$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.099960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No39c3,238$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No52c3,237$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.985763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8302100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick35cpaid+194.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No39c3,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No39c2,892$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No41c2,777$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.434468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No41c2,688$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.13231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No39c2,508$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.882147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c2,489$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.3748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No39c2,477$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.922944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No38c2,475$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.733756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No39c2,310$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.1850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No39c2,308$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes59c2,203$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes52c2,150$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No38c2,100$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.978444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No41c1,790$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.53per pick31cpaid+168.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No41c1,787$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.875463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes59c1,700$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0038435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes47c1,637$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.951154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No38c1,607$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No46c1,592$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.253458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes51c1,562$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No42c1,502$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.694348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No45c1,430$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.531050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No47c1,403$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.657060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No38c1,400$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.992015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No43c1,381$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.371729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1229…84c1backed Yes59c1,334$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No39c1,312$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes40c1,251$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.