Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2711c02cc30243739f8aa2459afb135bbf5cae4ce795befe5d65cb6c5fcf9a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Real Madrid | 20c | 4,984$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Real Madrid | 22c | 2,982$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 2,663$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 2,622$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.87 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…6199backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 2,620$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Real Madrid | 34c | 1,633$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.11 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 1,118$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Real Madrid | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Real Madrid | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Real Madrid | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Real Madrid | 34c | 999.78$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Real Madrid | 32c | 904.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 72c | 649.26$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Real Madrid | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1262backed Olympiacos B.C. | 68c | 543.92$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid | 10c | 526.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 352.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…6bcabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 305.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Real Madrid | 32c | 262.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Real Madrid | 34c | 225.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 195.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 195$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Real Madrid | 33c | 174.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 166.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Real Madrid | 18c | 155.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Real Madrid | 35c | 149.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Real Madrid | 35c | 146$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Real Madrid | 12c | 139.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 98.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Real Madrid | 34c | 97.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…d9fcbacked Real Madrid | 36c | 96.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Real Madrid | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Real Madrid | 23c | 95.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid | 24c | 93.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 62.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Real Madrid | 20c | 60.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 49.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Real Madrid | 35c | 46.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Real Madrid | 34c | 44.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Real Madrid | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 36.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 35.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…ff3bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 70c | 33.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.