TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,183
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,183 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x12b9…3ec2backed No42c33,327$13,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,330.049851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c22,719$13,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,287.134,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c12,314$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.6883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c10,129$6,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,463.583,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No59c6,916$4,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.46555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No59c6,402$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.952646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes7c5,909$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Yes2c5,197$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes41c4,908$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.439244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No60c4,780$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.053145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c4,428$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes41c4,146$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9312236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c4,067$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.161,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c2,486$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.6250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No43c2,298$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.3815150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No38c2,027$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.714582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8207561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No38c1,939$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.234676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes18c1,880$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No58c1,853$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No37c1,449$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90611159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes41c1,176$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.310250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b9…a41ebacked Yes1c1,171$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.61711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No48c1,142$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.688229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No48c1,000$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5158245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes61c910.96$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.691952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c894.45$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.732,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes30c892.18$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.141,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No60c813.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3313054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c799.93$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No72c780$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.41181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes41c770.71$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yes39c749.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.49333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No59c731.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.126764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed No43c673.81$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.071442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c650.1$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c72…7703backed Yes29c632.75$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.38633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes28c591.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0412964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No79c560.65$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No59c559.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No38c559.68$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.179466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes4c536.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.481625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Yes57c536.85$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes63c534.93$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.013633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes39c525.03$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.174639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c472.85$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes41c441.79$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.131625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No60c416.15$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes41c411.72$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.816457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes60c323.28$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.26862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.442352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes50c307.81$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No72c258.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45c…488abacked Yes17c249.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No73c248.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No73c248.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8423456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No73c248.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.847954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.342944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No72c240.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes60c226.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.319953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c223.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c213$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0660832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No44c190.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.165255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…d779backed Yes15c183.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No62c176.13$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No62c166.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.888670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed No62c166.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes21c162.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.291,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes61c156.26$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.321030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-52.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes41c147.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.512128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No62c142.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.983759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No62c142.15$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.982065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No58c138.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed No36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes9c125.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No39c123.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes39c123.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1610440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes41c118.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No71c117.53$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.521827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes65c117.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Yes41c116.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd7…1725backed Yes19c113.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes58c113.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.576946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x856a…864ebacked Yes14c110.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes52c107.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.242445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes41c98.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.514346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7028…711bbacked Yes62c97.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa958…43b3backed Yes62c97.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0423855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Yes58c97.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.544146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.