TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c52,302$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.597424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes27c19,953$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.726832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c19,306$13,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,574.744,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes32c15,050$4,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,795.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c13,937$9,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.6290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes0c10,456$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.052040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c5,223$3,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.81,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c4,272$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.813,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c3,851$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.411,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes30c3,839$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.0510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c2,695$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes14c1,943$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes22c1,543$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes24c1,352$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes30c1,275$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.614245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Yes32c1,052$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed Yes1c949.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No76c864.35$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.789561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes23c828.47$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.766437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No62c722.4$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2212964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.611037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Yes31c583.45$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9027…5954backed Yes25c563.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c546.53$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes26c510.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.834445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes30c506.34$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.921,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No72c491.24$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.388229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes26c485.15$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.14128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes27c484.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.891947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c405.36$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c338.9$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes30c303.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c289.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c282.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab7e…b5d1backed No71c276.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes27c255.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes21c244.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.263060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c239.81$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No80c234.47$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.811827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Yes32c224.78$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No77c197.85$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.25738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes20c190.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.156536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes25c160.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.048452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Yes20c159.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.481323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes28c156.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes15c146.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.989736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb84e…f401backed No71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes30c135.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-64.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes30c130.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes32c118.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.022759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No77c116.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.854847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c114.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6513426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ca9…9783backed Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes25c106.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.682055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No77c100.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.514057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes38c98.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e0…981fbacked Yes30c97.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c95.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e04…57c7backed Yes26c91.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.89825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…9165backed Yes30c83.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes32c82.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.473053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes30c82.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.697150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No72c81.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.493740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc45c…488abacked Yes26c80.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0250%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No75c78.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.363562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd7…1725backed Yes31c78.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes25c75.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b53…7e9bbacked Yes25c74.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.117853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No70c71.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5920353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c68.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0916341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c67.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes25c66.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes29c66.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.155637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed Yes20c65.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.169643.8%42 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1626545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No70c62.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6622760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c57.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.837838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf17…3eeebacked Yes26c55.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes26c55.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.333847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c50.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes30c49.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7511159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes24c49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b7…7c65backed Yes30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No78c46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No71c45.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473d…fd38backed Yes26c44.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No70c43.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9515049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No66c40.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9727850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes26c40.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.