TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01c7…e995backed No8c19,684$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.131,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes31c18,798$5,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,970.613839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c14,571$10,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,138.2290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffa…6db7backed No69c10,779$7,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,437.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c6,414$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.114,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c4,932$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.872,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ed…47d8backed No64c4,498$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No23c3,830$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.7858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes31c3,401$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.022326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No9c2,617$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.599530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes18c2,610$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.946437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes43c2,571$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.95248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c2,555$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.611,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c2,531$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4521322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes31c2,471$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.181435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,122$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.73,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c1,963$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes30c1,712$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.381040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No37c1,683$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.1321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No65c1,545$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.3722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No65c1,526$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.6523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes37c1,372$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.958461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No54c1,014$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.287954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No54c989.24$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes18c950.8$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.6610820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes38c947.91$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.851,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No14c814.36$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No61c805.05$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9128357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes14c778.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.498940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No59c756.88$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.6522758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Yes39c742.24$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No69c704.05$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.793253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed No42c689.43$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.56714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c663.65$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Yes31c584.75$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.471241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes16c577.61$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6335145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes40c568.63$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.241,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c561.29$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes18c539.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3537829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No49c522.4$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5317659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes38c512.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1311149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No76c464.2$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.514676.1%35 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No35c454.34$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7944424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes15c438.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.938732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes31c432.92$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No69c419.78$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.075738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No30c403.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No68c399.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No33c391.75$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.186762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No35c385.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1917856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9794…6831backed Yes80c380.7$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.692080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No31c372.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.462065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ee…956ebacked Yes31c357.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c352.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c349.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes22c349.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.591921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes46c349.43$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0315150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c345$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0583650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c338.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0725872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes37c334.01$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.394452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed No12c333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No21c321.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6610464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked No66c310.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.942623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No19c306.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.648670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No18c299.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4633161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes31c293.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.41546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No46c290.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.536446.9%30 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No69c287$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0328045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No18c284.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c261.83$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c241.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6592254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No68c238.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.983865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked No53c234.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.396159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No53c207.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.776536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb56f…437dbacked No55c204.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes18c195.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.261435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes31c191.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2948934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Yes26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed No15c172.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed No59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No73c164.52$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.294178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No69c164.33$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3920353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No15c162.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.418055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes74c158.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No63c156.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No16c156$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No53c153.76$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.552445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c139.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes67c139.2$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes31c134.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes32c128.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.657838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No46c128.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.965547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…3be0backed No70c126.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No13c126.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.074719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c4…fb23backed No70c125.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No18c120.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.312867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes60c119.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.391145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No69c118.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7411853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes66c116.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.242982.8%24 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+33.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.