Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381ae1f9e2db67f444f5e9afe0f86c226a5263acc9b03ad86e13b73491ed2baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 6,271$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.6 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Barcelona | 65c | 6,211$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed Barcelona | 65c | 3,017$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 2,725$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.23 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Barcelona | 64c | 1,468$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…b52ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 13c | 972.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 722.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 714$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 4c | 698.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 21c | 573.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 10c | 550.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Barcelona | 77c | 530.51$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Barcelona | 79c | 451.75$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 26c | 414.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 393.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Barcelona | 74c | 333.54$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Barcelona | 64c | 305.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 260.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 21c | 256.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 241.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 5c | 239.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 19c | 220.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Barcelona | 67c | 212.19$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Barcelona | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 170.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 152.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…6199backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 19c | 148.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 131.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 110.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 22c | 106.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae52…405cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 23c | 105.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Barcelona | 64c | 102.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Barcelona | 64c | 99.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…a02bbacked Barcelona | 64c | 90.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 84.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 83.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 16c | 72.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 22c | 67.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Barcelona | 63c | 62.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Barcelona | 65c | 61.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 52.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 50.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Barcelona | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…d9fcbacked Barcelona | 65c | 39.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Barcelona | 63c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…6431backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 31.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Barcelona | 73c | 31.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Barcelona | 64c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 28.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Barcelona | 77c | 26.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Barcelona | 65c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Barcelona | 65c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Barcelona | 65c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.