TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes64c109,234$70,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,168.6148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No36c49,414$17,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,789.065431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c19,888$7,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.726033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes60c19,587$11,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,876.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c16,078$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.32,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes62c14,306$8,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,491.252050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No36c13,514$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.196940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.975641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c8,967$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.28941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c8,302$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.1468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c7,931$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.5196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No36c7,654$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.351553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No36c7,269$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.694351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No15c4,660$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.9732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes64c3,697$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.69366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c3,185$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.9193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No37c3,121$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.642860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes64c3,059$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.123756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No19c2,945$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No16c2,631$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.1349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed No36c2,616$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c2,610$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.1441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes64c2,516$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.8210451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes65c2,211$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes64c2,152$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…9309backed No41c2,143$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c2,139$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked No37c2,080$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes56c1,916$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No35c1,783$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.7124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes64c1,529$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.357145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes64c1,529$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes65c1,517$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.543250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c1,426$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.411,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No36c1,256$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No36c1,240$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No45c1,206$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54813445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No15c1,195$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c1,140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes64c1,070$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes64c1,001$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes65c988.79$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.087749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked No37c962.2$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.01333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No37c904.25$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf95…7e16backed Yes64c763.61$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No35c744.55$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.1435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Yes65c617.52$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.13862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes64c590.6$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.623151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No36c578.8$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.371963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes64c546.1$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No36c534.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes58c499.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.952969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Yes64c497.95$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.262853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c485.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4118951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No43c482.9$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6510038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes57c478.55$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No14c474.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.395518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No10c473$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3336.1%2 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-76.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed No37c465.12$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.091050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No15c464.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.944835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No36c438.74$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.075054%27 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes65c395.52$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.433847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes64c391.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.081060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No37c384.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.446560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No36c383.05$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes64c382.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.593756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No37c369.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7a…725cbacked Yes64c348.13$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c343.71$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No35c343.11$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0911146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Yes64c339.18$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.566036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No36c315.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7412350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes63c308.08$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.465364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5512…0155backed Yes64c306.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.074647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0713553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.073537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e48…f025backed Yes64c303.35$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083040%12 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No36c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed No18c299.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.162240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes62c299.46$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No36c289.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.982937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes62c284.95$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.087248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No17c283.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No34c281.24$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.234231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No37c279.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.595149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No37c274.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.